TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MASQof eSuba, MASQ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed MASQ80c2,519$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.820249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked eSuba31c1,741$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.137,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed eSuba30c1,485$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.691,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked eSuba1c1,203$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked eSuba32c977.18$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.832,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed eSuba18c964.77$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.041,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed eSuba12c801.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MASQ65c774$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.92,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed eSuba37c698.51$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MASQ42c642.75$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.462,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed MASQ59c634.76$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed eSuba33c515$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3845754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked MASQ54c511$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23523537.9%89 W · 146 L-16.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed eSuba65c502.51$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9824256.6%137 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MASQ39c500.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed eSuba43c500.17$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.652,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MASQ45c460.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.134,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MASQ49c432.96$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.15,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked MASQ68c424.66$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.85650%28 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked eSuba35c405.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.382,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed eSuba8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed eSuba8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed eSuba8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked eSuba8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked eSuba29c387.28$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1643253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed eSuba54c381.2$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20456239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked MASQ50c352.69$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3319935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked MASQ58c350.69$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6917449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MASQ50c341.3$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.655,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked eSuba41c317.31$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7818753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed eSuba38c300.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MASQ66c261.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.92,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed eSuba39c256.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed eSuba43c244.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9341450.7%210 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked eSuba48c237.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.91,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed eSuba73c233$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0916349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed MASQ78c226.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.959960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked eSuba55c209.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.433,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked eSuba62c199.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9941950.1%210 W · 209 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed MASQ63c196$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8114441.7%60 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked eSuba15c189.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.851,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed eSuba79c187.45$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5611838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MASQ53c170.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.765,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed eSuba57c170$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed eSuba53c169.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3918645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked MASQ67c167.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8313357.1%76 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSuba72c152.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.675,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked eSuba32c152$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0727156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked eSuba49c137.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.368548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…19f8backed MASQ61c134.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.975648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked eSuba53c131.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…6993backed eSuba21c130.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f27…4377backed MASQ71c129.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked eSuba53c128.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked eSuba31c112.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.960232.4%195 W · 407 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked eSuba37c110.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130938.5%119 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed MASQ48c110.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.084751.1%24 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked eSuba64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041254.9%226 W · 186 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed eSuba35c108.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3389630.7%275 W · 621 L-64.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed MASQ36c107.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.711844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…6ffdbacked MASQ79c105.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65f…a4e4backed MASQ58c102.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.031560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9cc…4d8abacked eSuba64c102.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed eSuba48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked eSuba37c98.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.747138%27 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked eSuba41c95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5549342%207 W · 286 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked eSuba41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.945538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed MASQ70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.11,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked eSuba37c82.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked eSuba48c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed eSuba51c79.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9940857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd652…6354backed MASQ45c79.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7813757.7%79 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed eSuba41c79.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5220242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked eSuba26c78.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2943155.9%241 W · 190 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked eSuba39c75.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked eSuba42c69.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.893,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked eSuba41c66.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed eSuba56c65.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6123956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed eSuba19c64.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2516023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…b0e7backed MASQ71c59.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.362352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed MASQ52c59.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6222557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked eSuba59c58.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5738259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked MASQ53c58.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.396761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked eSuba62c55.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3874653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked MASQ57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5723037.8%87 W · 143 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked eSuba33c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.373444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked MASQ63c41.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4439469.3%273 W · 121 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked MASQ38c41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MASQ50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.011,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed MASQ57c39.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9621755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed eSuba66c37.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6741147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MASQ53c35.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.982,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MASQ36c35.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed MASQ55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…31a1backed MASQ74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed eSuba45c34.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4341853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3c…104bbacked eSuba59c34.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c0…eca1backed eSuba63c31.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed eSuba68c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9653569.3%371 W · 164 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed MASQ45c30.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7430859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.