Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939fc010dc758682bd8ab288690707c309628cbb9971c9cacd97e5ed19983e55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Academyof Nightblood Gaming, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed NRG Academy | 49c | 2,627$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.93 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 53c | 1,049$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.64 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nightblood Gaming | 35c | 1,009$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed NRG Academy | 54c | 584.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Nightblood Gaming | 66c | 575.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 520.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG Academy | 53c | 489.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 400.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nightblood Gaming | 50c | 383.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 362.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nightblood Gaming | 47c | 361.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 357.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 36c | 329.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed NRG Academy | 50c | 282.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…7d63backed NRG Academy | 75c | 281.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 278.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed NRG Academy | 48c | 278.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed NRG Academy | 48c | 248.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed NRG Academy | 53c | 204.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Academy | 48c | 186.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 57c | 182.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed NRG Academy | 52c | 143.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed NRG Academy | 71c | 140.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 131.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Academy | 47c | 110.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 26c | 108.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed NRG Academy | 75c | 107.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 783 | 44.1%345 W · 438 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed NRG Academy | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nightblood Gaming | 18c | 84.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nightblood Gaming | 46c | 79.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 75.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Nightblood Gaming | 17c | 74.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked NRG Academy | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked NRG Academy | 72c | 66.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed NRG Academy | 72c | 55.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…b0e7backed Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 55.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 50.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NRG Academy | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed NRG Academy | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 44.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed NRG Academy | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 39.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NRG Academy | 72c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed NRG Academy | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed NRG Academy | 63c | 25.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed NRG Academy | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed NRG Academy | 51c | 23.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed NRG Academy | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NRG Academy | 55c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed NRG Academy | 54c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG Academy | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsNRG Academy won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 1 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.