Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fac028cf509d614a7e444beacba33f39639c09ccc7b8dba1fd16301e52e17ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Nightblood Gaming | 58c | 1,380$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 943.44$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 904.42$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 731.12$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.39 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG Academy | 37c | 571.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed NRG Academy | 51c | 477.37$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nightblood Gaming | 71c | 444.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG Academy | 43c | 416.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG Academy | 36c | 376.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed NRG Academy | 53c | 364.06$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG Academy | 53c | 356.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NRG Academy | 52c | 305.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Academy | 44c | 297.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Nightblood Gaming | 26c | 261$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG Academy | 39c | 246$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked NRG Academy | 75c | 217.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG Academy | 38c | 182.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Nightblood Gaming | 48c | 179.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed NRG Academy | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Nightblood Gaming | 72c | 138.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG Academy | 47c | 130.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked NRG Academy | 45c | 97.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 51c | 82.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Nightblood Gaming | 76c | 81.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG Academy | 28c | 70.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG Academy | 35c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NRG Academy | 33c | 68.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked NRG Academy | 42c | 67.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG Academy | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG Academy | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked NRG Academy | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nightblood Gaming | 71c | 48.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NRG Academy | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed NRG Academy | 37c | 43.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked NRG Academy | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Nightblood Gaming | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 20.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…102fbacked NRG Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsNRG Academy won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 2 WinnerNRG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.