TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Imperial, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M57c4,228$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial58c4,166$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.2792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Fluxo W7M50c2,676$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.71,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M48c2,223$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.122,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial42c2,157$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M39c2,103$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.124,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M45c2,087$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.473,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial45c1,906$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.042,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Fluxo W7M22c1,310$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Fluxo W7M34c1,230$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.6994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Imperial61c1,143$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.4513537%50 W · 85 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Imperial39c799.23$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.715244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial31c782.38$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.363,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M45c747.84$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.173,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Imperial37c715$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5614742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M10c685$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.881,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Fluxo W7M56c669.07$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.071,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Fluxo W7M39c629.6$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.632040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Fluxo W7M38c602.35$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3338835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Fluxo W7M2c600$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+183%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Fluxo W7M2c600$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588746.8%5 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+172.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M12c557.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.275,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Fluxo W7M52c528.37$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1422750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M32c428.43$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.731,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M34c420.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.723,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Fluxo W7M61c411.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9735148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Imperial52c391.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.54,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Fluxo W7M26c383.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8830223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M44c368.3$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.084,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial37c360.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.037,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Fluxo W7M46c327.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.379850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M40c319.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.812,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Imperial80c272.98$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.710338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Fluxo W7M50c254.66$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.665750.9%29 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo W7M40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15024746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Imperial53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Fluxo W7M47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.436855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fluxo W7M67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7872353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a5…bcfabacked Imperial12c188.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial43c182.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.862,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Imperial34c176.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4121536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Imperial37c173$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0114447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fluxo W7M43c172.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.61,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Fluxo W7M42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.630349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial55c163.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.762,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Imperial23c152.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5219150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Imperial60c134.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fluxo W7M42c133.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.262,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Fluxo W7M53c123.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.365850%29 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fluxo W7M42c110.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9738032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.92,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Fluxo W7M53c102.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8930859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Imperial48c101.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Imperial61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.538469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M39c97.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Imperial71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…b0e7backed Imperial61c81.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Fluxo W7M72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Imperial41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7517648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Imperial19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fluxo W7M32c71.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6869445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Imperial44c63.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.851,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Imperial24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158941.6%37 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Imperial33c61.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1152645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Imperial69c58.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5237859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fluxo W7M41c58.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7628843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf927…94b5backed Imperial23c57.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Fluxo W7M49c57.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1432054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial39c50.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Fluxo W7M29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.780741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Imperial56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Imperial71c44.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Fluxo W7M30c42.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Fluxo W7M48c41.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4965548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Imperial27c41.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8970042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Imperial61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked Imperial32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Fluxo W7M39c37.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8722346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial62c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.872,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial55c36.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8241372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Imperial49c35.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4727037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d9…3f76backed Imperial60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Imperial40c32.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8475438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fluxo W7M62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Imperial57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.032231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.25per pick57cpaid-49.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Fluxo W7M38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…99febacked Fluxo W7M70c29.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8712162.8%76 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Imperial56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528837.5%108 W · 180 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial46c26.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1328761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked Imperial53c22.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial60c21.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Fluxo W7M72c21.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0239946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Fluxo W7M51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.885054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Imperial58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.638131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Imperial54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Imperial60c17.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.472,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.