CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d052fa27bad3ebacbd735a8d2ad392831c49167aa93ecbf03a0c9d8edd59947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Imperial, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 40c | 3,761$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.3 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 2,049$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Imperial | 53c | 938.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 892.5$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 755.27$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 750$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 41c | 525$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 470.4$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Imperial | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 165.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Imperial | 43c | 122.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Fluxo W7M | 16c | 63.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 58.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Imperial | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Imperial | 42c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.