TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, Fluxo W7M
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc568…1a8cbacked Fluxo W7M42c9,730$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.384843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Imperial57c4,455$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.651,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Imperial58c4,034$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.7213354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial69c2,725$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.366,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M18c1,440$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.492,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Fluxo W7M36c1,404$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Imperial57c1,304$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6422750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fluxo W7M8c1,242$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.043,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Imperial71c1,211$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.462248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Imperial65c794.48$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.683,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Imperial68c749.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Fluxo W7M31c685.42$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Imperial71c680$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2814742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe8…a3ebbacked Fluxo W7M22c678.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked Fluxo W7M31c676.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M23c590.45$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed Imperial68c525.04$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.283148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Imperial73c522.52$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Imperial58c515.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.889850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M36c505$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.92,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M24c479.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.811,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial66c432.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.622,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Imperial66c418.23$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Fluxo W7M49c408.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Imperial58c403.42$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.187360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Fluxo W7M26c384.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M24c363.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.112,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Fluxo W7M13c354.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5128935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M27c348.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.062,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Fluxo W7M37c346.66$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1116248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Fluxo W7M35c320$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M35c314.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.212,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Imperial67c296.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4335148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Fluxo W7M34c270.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Imperial74c250$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.519857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Imperial64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9052150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M17c239.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.544,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fluxo W7M36c208.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Fluxo W7M25c208.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7661034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial65c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.332,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Imperial74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5235861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fluxo W7M26c197.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.692,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial80c169$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial78c164.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.914,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial70c155.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.281,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo W7M36c152.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.824746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Imperial69c148.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9313258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Imperial69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9310867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Imperial63c137$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6932544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Fluxo W7M16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Fluxo W7M24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.232042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fluxo W7M13c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.342,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Fluxo W7M25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fluxo W7M10c104$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Imperial66c100.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0951348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ea…a68ebacked Fluxo W7M16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Fluxo W7M18c98.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7924842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked Fluxo W7M22c97.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Fluxo W7M16c93.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fluxo W7M36c87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.544747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial70c79.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Imperial64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1349766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Fluxo W7M37c75.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.671,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8158…648ebacked Fluxo W7M25c73.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Imperial69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4632054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Imperial78c71.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7714661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Fluxo W7M36c65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M29c64.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.834,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Fluxo W7M25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Imperial71c56.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1721536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Fluxo W7M36c55.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed7…088dbacked Fluxo W7M29c52.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6d…fc62backed Fluxo W7M32c45.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ce…7ecbbacked Fluxo W7M35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Imperial71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.735,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked Imperial75c30.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Imperial66c30.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.413444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Imperial66c29.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Imperial77c25.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8921060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ce…8861backed Imperial70c25.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.584346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Imperial67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde0…20bfbacked Imperial57c23.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.188158%47 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Imperial68c22.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1489046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial74c21.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dc5…564ebacked Imperial75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Imperial75c16.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2927037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.