Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b91abb25a068cf2cac43ddce342ff96fae2c05ce9135fa1e97277c3f76aa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Virtus.pro, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 64c | 29,356$18,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,552.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1win | 70c | 28,496$19,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,675.64 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 22,157$5,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.79 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 11,001$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 10,904$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.24 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 8,500$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 7,735$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.9 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked 1win | 65c | 6,912$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 4,077$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed 1win | 64c | 4,023$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.26 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 1win | 65c | 3,977$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.7 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 80c | 3,854$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.81 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 3,735$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 3,583$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 3,552$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.21 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 3,455$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 3,400$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 3,297$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed 1win | 63c | 2,884$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.08 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,566$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.93 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 73c | 2,500$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 2,322$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,277$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.48 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,250$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,046$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.56 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,994$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,911$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,884$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,813$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.04 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 64c | 1,778$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,661$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,613$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.72 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,578$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.18 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 65c | 1,556$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.85 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 67c | 1,486$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.04 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,377$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,324$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,315$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed 1win | 63c | 1,300$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.32 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,207$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.51 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,199$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed 1win | 65c | 1,108$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 64c | 1,101$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.34 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 1win | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,039$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,033$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,008$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.01 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 64c | 1,002$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.97 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 920$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 65c | 912.73$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 898.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 883.92$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.05 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 878$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed 1win | 65c | 849.37$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 779.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed 1win | 63c | 751.24$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 750.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 732.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 674.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 673.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 673.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 1win | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked 1win | 64c | 661.13$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…27f1backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 630$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…0b71backed 1win | 64c | 600.3$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed 1win | 72c | 579.75$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked 1win | 63c | 564.03$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 504.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked 1win | 63c | 499.62$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 495.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed 1win | 70c | 492$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 485$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed 1win | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 450$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 430.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 402.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked 1win | 62c | 376.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 370.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 359.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 353.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D1win won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.