Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ef7e5c61abb0d75b21a94c76b1fe4f4d66326225714de3a177e97fd227c5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Virtus.pro, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $586,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 56c | 76,201$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,200.92 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 30,198$13,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,019.04 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 23,634$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,962.23 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 23,402$10,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,998.34 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 22,872$10,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,663.69 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 59c | 21,829$12,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045.41 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 18,671$8,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,763.08 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 16,013$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,675 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 53c | 15,920$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.72 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed 1win | 54c | 14,051$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.34 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 13,081$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 1win | 56c | 12,697$7,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.78 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 11,906$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.26 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 10,859$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.6 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 10,235$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.63 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 72c | 10,110$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.7 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 56c | 8,684$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.48 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.99 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 57c | 7,944$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.55 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked 1win | 55c | 7,288$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 64c | 6,211$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.92 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked 1win | 52c | 6,008$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.33 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 58c | 5,480$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.83 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 69c | 5,000$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.42 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 4,655$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.13 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 55c | 4,218$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 4,115$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.59 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 4,085$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 4,000$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.22 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 57c | 3,860$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 55c | 3,513$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 3,411$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.41 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 64c | 2,945$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.52 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1win | 63c | 2,823$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.15 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed 1win | 67c | 2,641$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.4 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 2,540$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.92 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 61c | 2,527$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.2 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 2,460$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,406$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 2,297$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.29 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1win | 46c | 2,295$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.75 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 2,104$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.82 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,075$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,000$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 1,923$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,876$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 1,850$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,833$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed 1win | 61c | 1,771$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,681$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,600$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.39 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 60c | 1,581$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.57 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,577$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed 1win | 67c | 1,530$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked 1win | 56c | 1,511$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.58 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 57c | 1,501$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.42 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 57c | 1,465$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,443$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked 1win | 65c | 1,377$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.94 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 1,340$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked 1win | 52c | 1,320$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 1win | 52c | 1,310$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,254$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 1win | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,242$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.63 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,232$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,200$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,176$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,167$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.21 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,118$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.27 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 58c | 1,037$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.91 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,014$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 60c | 1,000$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked 1win | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 1win | 72c | 999.99$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 999.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked 1win | 79c | 993.87$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked 1win | 66c | 985$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed 1win | 53c | 950.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 62c | 899.99$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed 1win | 60c | 884.34$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed 1win | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…042dbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 850$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 824.61$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 774.46$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 1win | 50c | 767.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.97 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D1win won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.