CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb4c227f998c41871eeac9b598b46d3caa0d29eb65204ad666960ed3be03d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alter Egoof 5star, Alter Ego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 5star | 48c | 4,710$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.49 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 5star | 47c | 3,015$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.77 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed 5star | 52c | 1,989$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.9 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alter Ego | 44c | 1,853$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed 5star | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.71 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alter Ego | 46c | 881.77$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.7 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alter Ego | 59c | 829.94$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Alter Ego | 49c | 793$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.28 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Alter Ego | 62c | 776$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.01 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alter Ego | 62c | 776$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alter Ego | 63c | 768.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alter Ego | 55c | 731.1$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alter Ego | 62c | 664$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alter Ego | 63c | 662.27$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 5star | 40c | 657.74$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alter Ego | 61c | 620.71$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 5star | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alter Ego | 45c | 471.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego | 61c | 423.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Alter Ego | 49c | 417$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed 5star | 20c | 326.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alter Ego | 53c | 303$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alter Ego | 59c | 252.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alter Ego | 50c | 241.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alter Ego | 49c | 220.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Alter Ego | 42c | 202.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed 5star | 37c | 199.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alter Ego | 45c | 184$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Alter Ego | 45c | 184$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alter Ego | 51c | 174.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked 5star | 48c | 145.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 5star | 10c | 135.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Alter Ego | 62c | 130.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked 5star | 16c | 103.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Alter Ego | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alter Ego | 48c | 84.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alter Ego | 47c | 78.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked 5star | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alter Ego | 46c | 70.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alter Ego | 56c | 64.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Alter Ego | 47c | 62.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked 5star | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Alter Ego | 45c | 59.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed 5star | 41c | 56.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 5star | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Alter Ego | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Alter Ego | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alter Ego | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Alter Ego | 55c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Alter Ego | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 5star | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked 5star | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Alter Ego | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alter Ego | 45c | 28.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked 5star | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Alter Ego | 78c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs5star won
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego - Map 1 Winner5star won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.