Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84e6aafedec9e8bc24f798868ac6e0d8951bf6bd4bc393c534886f30a679b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habos Babosof Karmine Corp GC, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2276…efd0backed Karmine Corp GC | 55c | 2,859$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.25 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Habos Babos | 48c | 2,044$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.15 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 816.15$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.42 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Habos Babos | 27c | 390$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 389.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd1…8e7dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 76c | 336.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp GC | 10c | 275.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Habos Babos | 56c | 244.29$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Habos Babos | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Habos Babos | 38c | 233.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Habos Babos | 31c | 221.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Habos Babos | 31c | 204$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Habos Babos | 50c | 203.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Habos Babos | 28c | 197.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Habos Babos | 27c | 175.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1169backed Karmine Corp GC | 76c | 156.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0c13backed Habos Babos | 28c | 128.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Habos Babos | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp GC | 75c | 124.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Habos Babos | 26c | 122.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Habos Babos | 40c | 118.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Habos Babos | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp GC | 73c | 116.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Habos Babos | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 59c | 106.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Karmine Corp GC | 76c | 105.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Habos Babos | 26c | 95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Karmine Corp GC | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 32c | 88.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Habos Babos | 57c | 87.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Habos Babos | 55c | 83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Habos Babos | 52c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked Habos Babos | 69c | 72.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 66.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed Habos Babos | 47c | 63.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 46c | 62.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Karmine Corp GC | 49c | 61.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Habos Babos | 26c | 60.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Habos Babos | 59c | 59.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Karmine Corp GC | 75c | 52.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Habos Babos | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…c132backed Karmine Corp GC | 78c | 46.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Karmine Corp GC | 53c | 41.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…7d49backed Karmine Corp GC | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Habos Babos | 30c | 36.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Habos Babos | 52c | 34.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Habos Babos | 53c | 33.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Habos Babos | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Habos Babos | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Habos Babos | 40c | 30.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Karmine Corp GC | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Karmine Corp GC | 73c | 27.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Karmine Corp GC | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Karmine Corp GC | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Karmine Corp GC | 73c | 17.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.56per pick | 73cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…f88bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 16.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 73c | 14.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…81ddbacked Karmine Corp GC | 78c | 13.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.