UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188ff0f2215044288905cae94cda320b51861f2222e8fd090237364c54d320e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaan Ofliof Javier Reyes, Kaan Ofli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Javier Reyes | 69c | 128,912$88,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,949.18 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 112,631$34,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,712.84 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 9,999$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kaan Ofli | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.93 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Kaan Ofli | 35c | 6,010$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.39 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Javier Reyes | 67c | 4,023$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.08 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 3,692$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.84 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Javier Reyes | 2c | 2,970$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 2,901$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.35 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kaan Ofli | 30c | 2,557$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.47 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Javier Reyes | 66c | 2,440$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.6 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Kaan Ofli | 73c | 2,259$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Kaan Ofli | 57c | 2,000$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.58 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Kaan Ofli | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Javier Reyes | 58c | 1,958$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.69 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Javier Reyes | 69c | 1,942$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.19 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Kaan Ofli | 76c | 1,835$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ae02backed Kaan Ofli | 33c | 1,780$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Kaan Ofli | 34c | 1,765$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.89 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Javier Reyes | 44c | 1,700$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Kaan Ofli | 32c | 1,614$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kaan Ofli | 43c | 1,579$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.36 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Javier Reyes | 20c | 1,500$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.04 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Javier Reyes | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Javier Reyes | 64c | 1,470$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kaan Ofli | 71c | 1,042$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Javier Reyes | 14c | 1,014$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Kaan Ofli | 48c | 1,007$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.92 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kaan Ofli | 77c | 955.35$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Kaan Ofli | 56c | 898.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Kaan Ofli | 33c | 897.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Javier Reyes | 47c | 887.99$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 859.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 844.69$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Javier Reyes | 4c | 836.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Kaan Ofli | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 799.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kaan Ofli | 38c | 798.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Javier Reyes | 25c | 774.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Javier Reyes | 23c | 737.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 730.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Kaan Ofli | 33c | 724.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa476…8cfcbacked Javier Reyes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Javier Reyes | 67c | 613.39$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Javier Reyes | 70c | 546.58$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed Javier Reyes | 67c | 525.71$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Javier Reyes | 70c | 519.06$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Kaan Ofli | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kaan Ofli | 31c | 491.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.95 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Kaan Ofli | 62c | 473.62$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed Javier Reyes | 67c | 452.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Javier Reyes | 60c | 425.8$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Javier Reyes | 47c | 425.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Kaan Ofli | 61c | 405.11$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…9cc4backed Javier Reyes | 63c | 378.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Javier Reyes | 67c | 375$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Javier Reyes | 67c | 371.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Javier Reyes | 68c | 368$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 368$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Javier Reyes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Javier Reyes | 63c | 325.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kaan Ofli | 33c | 317.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Kaan Ofli | 32c | 312$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Javier Reyes | 69c | 309$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Javier Reyes | 62c | 307.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Javier Reyes | 45c | 301.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 301.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Kaan Ofli | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Javier Reyes | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Javier Reyes | 22c | 298.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Kaan Ofli | 49c | 291.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Javier Reyes | 68c | 291.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Javier Reyes | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 281.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Kaan Ofli | 38c | 272.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Javier Reyes | 25c | 260.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Javier Reyes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Javier Reyes | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…09b0backed Kaan Ofli | 33c | 248$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Javier Reyes | 70c | 245.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Javier Reyes | 68c | 237.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.45 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 232.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Javier Reyes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Kaan Ofli | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Javier Reyes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Javier Reyes | 68c | 194.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Javier Reyes | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 188.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kaan Ofli | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Javier Reyes | 18c | 175.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Kaan Ofli | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Kaan Ofli | 59c | 170.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Kaan Ofli | 36c | 165$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.