CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8a36d51cfa515c05d16e6893005f84715e90a41aa50e751ad9723ec710d181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof ex-RUBY, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 9,751$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.2 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…32d3backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 6,294$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 4,309$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 4,106$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.1 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 3,881$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 3,571$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…98b9backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 3,510$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…fa6fbacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 3,160$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 2,961$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.48 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 2,696$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.57 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 2,669$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 2,393$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 2,378$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.07 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 2,244$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 1,950$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.77 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…fe39backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 1,360$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7224…1fefbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 1,331$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 1,171$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,162$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 1,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…19a0backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,004$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.6 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 973.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 892.85$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed Black Phoenix | 32c | 771.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 737.93$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 718.31$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.76 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 682.26$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 635.4$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…66c2backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 632.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 612.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 603.28$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.68 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…c84bbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 580.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 571.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 562.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.94 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 558.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 555$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 516.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 502.67$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 500.95$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Black Phoenix | 47c | 471.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 464.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 438.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 428.72$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 423.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574c…5e18backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 421.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 390.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 369$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 368$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 300.88$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…7a2fbacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 276.02$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 270$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…acd3backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 262.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 258.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 241.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 238.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 235.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 224$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 219.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 206.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 201.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 201.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 196.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 195.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 188.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 185.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 178.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…9436backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 168.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…124dbacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 162.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Black Phoenix | 53c | 150.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Black Phoenix | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 148.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 141.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 137.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 136.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…aec1backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 136.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 133$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 124.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 122.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Black Phoenix | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 112.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 109.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.