CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98de31e1979884e12db863b9eb97d404d0d2109605349c7a4cba7ee96b7abe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf03c…add8backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 17,909$11,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,635.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Black Phoenix | 44c | 9,357$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.52 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 6,037$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Black Phoenix | 22c | 3,696$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.14 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…0e92backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 3,095$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 2,958$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.69 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 2,461$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a0edbacked Black Phoenix | 30c | 1,844$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 1,178$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 695$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.55 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 679.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 427.82$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Black Phoenix | 16c | 309.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 179.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 13c | 177$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 172.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 167.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 162.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Black Phoenix | 44c | 122$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Black Phoenix | 12c | 109.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed Black Phoenix | 19c | 94.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Black Phoenix | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 79.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Black Phoenix | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 28c | 69.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…124dbacked Black Phoenix | 20c | 54.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Black Phoenix | 31c | 48.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0034backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Black Phoenix | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…2190backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 24.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageBlack Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.