Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676cd08b3eacb60b7a746200ede8cee0f7d82e5441800f295a47c4e3e623ad8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Aidan Mayo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aidan Mayo | 48c | 21,830$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,542.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 14,377$5,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,384.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 12,639$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Aidan Mayo | 57c | 3,996$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.84 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Michelsen | 35c | 3,589$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 3,411$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Aidan Mayo | 58c | 3,315$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.09 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 3,170$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Aidan Mayo | 48c | 2,226$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.4 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Aidan Mayo | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Aidan Mayo | 45c | 1,480$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.71 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.23 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…19e6backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,322$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Aidan Mayo | 74c | 1,220$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Aidan Mayo | 24c | 1,206$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Aidan Mayo | 67c | 1,156$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.74 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…2a4bbacked Alex Michelsen | 41c | 1,058$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.53 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 986.89$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Aidan Mayo | 51c | 959.96$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 929$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.81 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Alex Michelsen | 34c | 813$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.47 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alex Michelsen | 65c | 665.41$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Aidan Mayo | 58c | 623.79$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Aidan Mayo | 58c | 596.9$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…01fbbacked Alex Michelsen | 69c | 579.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Alex Michelsen | 32c | 550$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 542$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.27 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Aidan Mayo | 32c | 494.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…96febacked Aidan Mayo | 9c | 475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…35b0backed Aidan Mayo | 9c | 475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alex Michelsen | 44c | 457.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aidan Mayo | 22c | 436$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Aidan Mayo | 35c | 412.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Alex Michelsen | 34c | 400$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Alex Michelsen | 36c | 380.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 379.27$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Aidan Mayo | 51c | 376.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 312.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Aidan Mayo | 13c | 306.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Alex Michelsen | 32c | 300.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Aidan Mayo | 68c | 292.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Aidan Mayo | 33c | 291.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Aidan Mayo | 24c | 263.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…e312backed Aidan Mayo | 75c | 259.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 220$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alex Michelsen | 57c | 219.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Alex Michelsen | 33c | 213.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Aidan Mayo | 58c | 207.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Aidan Mayo | 39c | 207.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…dabdbacked Alex Michelsen | 68c | 204.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Aidan Mayo | 60c | 199.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 193.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 193.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 185.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aidan Mayo | 37c | 172.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Alex Michelsen | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Alex Michelsen | 31c | 160.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Aidan Mayo | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Aidan Mayo | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Aidan Mayo | 43c | 144.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aidan Mayo | 39c | 141.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 122.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Aidan Mayo | 41c | 104$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Alex Michelsen | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Alex Michelsen | 60c | 99.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Aidan Mayo | 30c | 95.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 94.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 93.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Aidan Mayo | 24c | 92.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Aidan Mayo | 75c | 90.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alex Michelsen | 65c | 79.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Aidan Mayo | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 72.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Alex Michelsen | 43c | 69.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alex Michelsen | 43c | 68.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Aidan Mayo | 76c | 67.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 67.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Aidan Mayo | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Aidan Mayo | 30c | 55.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 54.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…2f58backed Alex Michelsen | 44c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aidan Mayo | 50c | 52.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…aa36backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Aidan Mayo | 56c | 45.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Aidan Mayo | 47c | 44.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa531…9d20backed Aidan Mayo | 74c | 40.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…5953backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Alex Michelsen | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Aidan Mayo | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aidan Mayo | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Aidan Mayo | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 34.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs MayoMichelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.