Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a7fe18d31f197e35ecb58a1bcd26b6b448c7ac854e74d5b8955ee012bb8bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 32c | 3,580$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.43 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 2,949$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.84 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 2,460$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.52 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 1,882$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.85 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 34c | 1,482$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 65c | 893.05$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.56 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 33c | 856.1$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Yes | 32c | 795.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…75bebacked No | 68c | 795.96$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 79c | 777$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Yes | 79c | 585.71$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 35c | 473.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 455.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 34c | 350$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yes | 34c | 282.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 247.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 25c | 240.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 200.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…44ebbacked Yes | 33c | 168$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…b7bfbacked No | 67c | 168$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 32c | 147$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 139$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 119.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 31c | 99.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…7043backed No | 68c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9434…159abacked Yes | 32c | 97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…ee30backed No | 66c | 95.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 35c | 83.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 31c | 80.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 69c | 80.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…9322backed Yes | 36c | 71.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…ce30backed No | 68c | 67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…76abbacked Yes | 32c | 67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked No | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…1ac2backed No | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…72cbbacked Yes | 32c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…8dcebacked No | 68c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…7950backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…b7a1backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…0600backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…ab32backed No | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…08a2backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…566dbacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…f2fdbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…c581backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…91efbacked Yes | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…c6f5backed Yes | 64c | 40.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Yes | 32c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…74c2backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…49ccbacked No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…2276backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 64c | 34.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…cc01backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…978abacked No | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f1…1952backed No | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 67c | 33.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…d6adbacked Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…e4c8backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…f364backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d8…f0d3backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…5a67backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…0988backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…7aa8backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9a0fbacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…39c5backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…421ebacked No | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…2ca5backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…b082backed No | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…5734backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…052dbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…a28dbacked No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…40e9backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…eb9ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…2253backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…6337backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica win on 2025-02-12?this page
- Will Monaco vs. Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Monaco win on 2025-02-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.