TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Monaco win on 2025-02-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c11…c7e6backed No63c9,700$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes37c9,553$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.525448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No60c5,851$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.012050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked No63c3,522$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.651070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+107.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes39c3,300$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.2736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes40c2,505$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80012359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c1,494$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes41c1,364$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No61c1,197$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.73961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No61c924.55$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3330754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30411443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…c131backed Yes39c765.28$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No60c683.33$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.834143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No57c555.32$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.279244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes41c485$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2416836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3316447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed No62c306.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes39c267.64$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.625754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes39c238.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No59c201.27$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2710743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No60c178.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.241450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.783946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c129.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f5…fd22backed Yes41c124.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes39c115.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455642.9%24 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+112.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fab…5797backed No58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No57c99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No61c98.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.464740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2c…9cccbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c51.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f6…26d7backed Yes41c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes40c49.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8513534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No61c49.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4510040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77cb…da6dbacked Yes39c45.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c5…e22fbacked No58c42.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+125.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67da…cef0backed Yes42c40.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb9…3a5dbacked No58c40.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb473…b769backed No57c40.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes40c40.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd826…a325backed No58c39.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df7…aedcbacked Yes39c39.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4878…ba7fbacked Yes42c38.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba69…903bbacked No59c37.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…6066backed Yes41c37.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb512…94febacked Yes40c37.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes43c36.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471e…f00bbacked No58c35.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f10…c028backed No58c34.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1c…424fbacked No59c33.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339e…aa9fbacked Yes41c33.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc4…ca2dbacked Yes42c33.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac5…5371backed No58c33.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99b5…7669backed Yes43c32.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07df…9fadbacked No57c32.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…3d3cbacked No60c32.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee2…4f56backed Yes42c31.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b45…7680backed No58c31.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ec…2d7dbacked Yes42c31.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b4…0df5backed Yes43c31.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…656bbacked No61c31.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…3756backed Yes42c30.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa432…0ed9backed Yes42c30.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb019…dad2backed Yes42c30.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d9…4a40backed Yes54c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd60…8f2fbacked Yes42c29.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7101…0860backed Yes41c28.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…ddd3backed No59c28.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1799…37c9backed Yes42c26.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc622…f80ebacked No58c25.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No61c25.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…8e1bbacked No59c25.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb630…c450backed Yes41c25.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3845…0513backed Yes42c24.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a5…e687backed No58c22.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e8…d8fabacked No57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfe…ebeebacked No62c21.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b6…a221backed No58c20.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3a…693bbacked No60c20.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ab…c1fabacked No61c19.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…2c00backed No58c18.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a24…01d5backed No57c18.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fa…10e9backed No60c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.