Champions League · resolved market
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824c19a98b54fc4d1ab0e768e9445ce0aead11d84fef80a64e40500924cc8574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Denmark, Portugal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe918…8009backed Denmark | 23c | 53,547$12,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,315.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…d0e7backed Portugal | 77c | 53,547$41,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,315.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Denmark | 35c | 3,719$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.6 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Portugal | 52c | 2,047$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.96 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Portugal | 77c | 1,967$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Denmark | 23c | 1,189$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Denmark | 48c | 833.29$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Portugal | 56c | 602.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Denmark | 48c | 576.24$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Portugal | 77c | 535.06$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Portugal | 54c | 446.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…c9eabacked Denmark | 19c | 389.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Denmark | 47c | 324.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…9139backed Denmark | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…f3f7backed Portugal | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…61ddbacked Denmark | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Portugal | 53c | 221.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…2548backed Denmark | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Denmark | 43c | 215.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked Portugal | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1c9ebacked Denmark | 53c | 187.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…03cebacked Denmark | 47c | 185$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…9a2abacked Portugal | 77c | 181.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Portugal | 56c | 177.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Portugal | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Portugal | 58c | 172.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Denmark | 10c | 164.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…d021backed Portugal | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…406abacked Denmark | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…16e0backed Portugal | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…44aebacked Denmark | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fa…ad8dbacked Denmark | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…5edcbacked Portugal | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Portugal | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Portugal | 71c | 127.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…5408backed Portugal | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…0c86backed Portugal | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…316abacked Portugal | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…c09cbacked Portugal | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Denmark | 41c | 113.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…8b14backed Portugal | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c60…e152backed Denmark | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Denmark | 13c | 104.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Portugal | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Portugal | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…2c85backed Denmark | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f7…d6b9backed Portugal | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Portugal | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Portugal | 54c | 92.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…be25backed Denmark | 39c | 90.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Denmark | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Denmark | 22c | 83.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Denmark | 21c | 80.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…d961backed Denmark | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Portugal | 60c | 62.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c4a8backed Portugal | 77c | 60.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Portugal | 54c | 55.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Portugal | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…07c0backed Portugal | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Denmark | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Denmark | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fc…2aa3backed Portugal | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…557cbacked Denmark | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…e3f1backed Portugal | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Denmark | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…d9dabacked Denmark | 55c | 45.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…f625backed Denmark | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed Denmark | 47c | 40.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Portugal | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Portugal | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Portugal | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…7941backed Portugal | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Portugal | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…822cbacked Portugal | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…330fbacked Denmark | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Portugal | 68c | 34.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Portugal | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba6…f2a8backed Denmark | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Portugal | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…f6ccbacked Denmark | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…e97ebacked Portugal | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbee…e662backed Portugal | 53c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Denmark | 46c | 27.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Portugal | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Portugal | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked Portugal | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Portugal | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…4e21backed Portugal | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Denmark | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Portugal | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. Portugalthis page
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. FranceFrance won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Italy vs. GermanyGermany won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. SpainSpain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.