Champions League · resolved market
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bbeadd4051d5e0e849adeb58c3c43d81eaf5a1c521b95bc166c657fd366daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof Croatia, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Croatia | 59c | 3,260$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.4 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…ef9bbacked France | 41c | 2,625$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Croatia | 60c | 2,075$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed France | 32c | 1,655$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Croatia | 60c | 1,331$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.06 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Croatia | 58c | 1,226$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…3b86backed France | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…9601backed Croatia | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Croatia | 63c | 920$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Croatia | 23c | 707.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Croatia | 63c | 599.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.49 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…9f24backed Croatia | 62c | 575$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed France | 42c | 542.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…3daabacked France | 38c | 518.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked France | 38c | 425$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked France | 37c | 380$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed France | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…c1debacked France | 38c | 370$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…3a3abacked France | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked France | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…5fdcbacked France | 39c | 245$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed France | 44c | 228.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Croatia | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…9165backed Croatia | 62c | 220$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…ecb6backed France | 38c | 215$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…fbe9backed Croatia | 62c | 215$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…4f30backed France | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Croatia | 62c | 205$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…c074backed Croatia | 62c | 205$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…d44fbacked France | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…0390backed Croatia | 61c | 175$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fcbcbacked Croatia | 62c | 175$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…f0c5backed France | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed France | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…174fbacked France | 38c | 170$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Croatia | 62c | 161.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…c5ffbacked Croatia | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed Croatia | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed France | 39c | 145$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed Croatia | 63c | 138.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked France | 42c | 138.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1c9ebacked Croatia | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked France | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…0009backed France | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed France | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…13ccbacked France | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed France | 40c | 124.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked France | 37c | 117.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…9325backed Croatia | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…a692backed Croatia | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed France | 42c | 108.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Croatia | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…fbfdbacked Croatia | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…3926backed Croatia | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3e…46c6backed Croatia | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…723fbacked Croatia | 61c | 105$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…72f3backed Croatia | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed France | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Croatia | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…07f2backed France | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…cb9cbacked Croatia | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed Croatia | 62c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed France | 74c | 81.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked France | 25c | 80.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked France | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…6e92backed Croatia | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +233.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Croatia | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…8b39backed Croatia | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…b0febacked Croatia | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…cb39backed France | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Croatia | 57c | 74.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…d89ebacked Croatia | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed France | 38c | 68.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…6dafbacked France | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…c3d4backed France | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…eb8abacked France | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…8f47backed France | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…e0c4backed France | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…53ffbacked France | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…db88backed France | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b5cabacked Croatia | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Croatia | 60c | 56.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked France | 76c | 56.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Croatia | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Croatia | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…c1debacked Croatia | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…8410backed France | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…87a2backed France | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…5edcbacked France | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed France | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed France | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…b78fbacked France | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked France | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Croatia | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…c97bbacked Croatia | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…224bbacked France | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Croatia | 50c | 46.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed France | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…8189backed France | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…48c1backed Croatia | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. Francethis page
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. PortugalPortugal won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Italy vs. GermanyGermany won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. SpainSpain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.