Champions League · resolved market
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d520c3cf14f6cbb3cb99491c4b6243c56c4a8260e0dd1a25def97894c20787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Netherlands, Spain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea33…539bbacked Netherlands | 32c | 3,100$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spain | 71c | 2,011$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.61 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Netherlands | 27c | 1,658$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.59 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…79e8backed Spain | 74c | 1,538$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Netherlands | 30c | 1,176$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Spain | 70c | 971.7$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.51 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Netherlands | 31c | 963.83$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…1456backed Netherlands | 23c | 884.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Netherlands | 29c | 870$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Netherlands | 16c | 812.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Spain | 70c | 660.76$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Netherlands | 31c | 547.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed Netherlands | 32c | 503.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Netherlands | 30c | 493.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Spain | 77c | 487.12$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spain | 72c | 484.94$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…d733backed Spain | 73c | 414.67$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…7d13backed Spain | 72c | 414$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Netherlands | 34c | 399.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Spain | 69c | 341.31$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Netherlands | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spain | 71c | 302.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…94f5backed Spain | 71c | 265$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked Spain | 70c | 255$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Netherlands | 31c | 237.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a459backed Netherlands | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…019dbacked Netherlands | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Spain | 74c | 217.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Spain | 69c | 179$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…e665backed Netherlands | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Netherlands | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…c298backed Spain | 62c | 165.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…dc3bbacked Netherlands | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…a4ecbacked Spain | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…51f3backed Spain | 62c | 152.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…dc75backed Spain | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed Spain | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…0529backed Spain | 72c | 145.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Spain | 33c | 145.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…a537backed Spain | 71c | 145$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…1226backed Spain | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…5bb4backed Netherlands | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Spain | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spain | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…c5ffbacked Spain | 76c | 130.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…61f0backed Netherlands | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…919dbacked Spain | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…ab21backed Netherlands | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed Netherlands | 29c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f528backed Spain | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…bebcbacked Netherlands | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…9945backed Spain | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Spain | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…86d8backed Spain | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…c97bbacked Netherlands | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…8410backed Spain | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Netherlands | 24c | 98.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spain | 76c | 95.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…a6babacked Netherlands | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…fccfbacked Spain | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1c9ebacked Spain | 77c | 91.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed Spain | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…5530backed Netherlands | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Netherlands | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb0…5106backed Netherlands | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…6f54backed Netherlands | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Netherlands | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…b1bebacked Netherlands | 28c | 70.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…8b14backed Netherlands | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…89d8backed Spain | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Netherlands | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Netherlands | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…5e3cbacked Spain | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Netherlands | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed Netherlands | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07ddbacked Netherlands | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…47abbacked Netherlands | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Netherlands | 24c | 62.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…8995backed Spain | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…9139backed Spain | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Spain | 69c | 59.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked Spain | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…5cc8backed Spain | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Spain | 61c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…a9dfbacked Netherlands | 39c | 51.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed Spain | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…dac7backed Spain | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Spain | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked Spain | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked Spain | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Spain | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e248backed Spain | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…0390backed Spain | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…dc63backed Netherlands | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Spain | 69c | 40.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e54…8715backed Spain | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…b1a7backed Spain | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed Spain | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…a062backed Spain | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…f46dbacked Spain | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spainthis page
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. FranceFrance won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Denmark vs. PortugalPortugal won
- UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Italy vs. GermanyGermany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.