Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf57681e81f10ca89d27a812076122349050acf0747785bd5d6f05aa644ecbfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 54c | 19,805$10,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,656.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 47c | 18,124$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,628.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 70c | 10,034$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.85 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 47c | 6,017$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.7 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 4,749$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.53 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 41c | 3,687$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 3,381$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.18 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 3,010$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.93 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 16c | 2,700$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Yes | 49c | 2,064$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 30c | 1,669$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 1,153$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.99 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,001$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 999.4$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.72 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Yes | 53c | 942.06$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 54c | 927.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 925.17$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 52c | 770.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 48c | 765.3$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 52c | 740.26$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 56c | 679.09$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 53c | 609.34$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 37c | 602.7$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 602.09$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e968backed Yes | 25c | 577.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 548.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…dcb9backed Yes | 53c | 539.95$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 54c | 485$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 33c | 474.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…3c4abacked Yes | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 47c | 411.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 56c | 399.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 52c | 288.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 51c | 282.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 36c | 278.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 208.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 49c | 199.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 48c | 192.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 191.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 43c | 185.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 180.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 25c | 167.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 55c | 166.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 48c | 148.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…c359backed No | 59c | 124.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 52c | 115.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 71c | 113.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 113.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 53c | 111.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 47c | 106.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…bbe0backed Yes | 47c | 102.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…2e6dbacked Yes | 44c | 74.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…23d4backed Yes | 50c | 72.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9fadbacked Yes | 48c | 67.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 49c | 50.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 54c | 47.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…b032backed No | 51c | 46.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…fd7ebacked No | 50c | 46.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…2bc6backed Yes | 48c | 44.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca63…8b91backed No | 53c | 43.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…6a05backed No | 53c | 43.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…5347backed No | 55c | 42.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…bd13backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…9858backed Yes | 46c | 42.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…9bdbbacked No | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…7fbbbacked Yes | 46c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…f51bbacked No | 50c | 41.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…e39ebacked Yes | 50c | 41.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…f00bbacked Yes | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 47c | 40.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…99b2backed Yes | 53c | 40.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…de5cbacked No | 48c | 39.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…62c8backed Yes | 49c | 39.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…dc9ebacked No | 54c | 39.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?this page
- Will Feyenoord vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.