Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519d733af3a8047640ff6e65c5901bf0e60ce9bf3ca651a63e53e5b70a02914f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 3,300$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.66 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,050$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 66c | 1,303$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.59 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 923.68$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Yes | 29c | 911.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed No | 71c | 911.8$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 63c | 798.3$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.93 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 485$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.35 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 62c | 474.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…c86dbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 57c | 263.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 35c | 263$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 21c | 256.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 256.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…fb06backed Yes | 33c | 250.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed No | 79c | 209.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed Yes | 29c | 207$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…3380backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 40c | 195.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked No | 71c | 172$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…5d32backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 115.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 33c | 113$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…978abacked Yes | 29c | 108$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd8…68b5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…4be3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…a00fbacked No | 71c | 89.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…3288backed No | 71c | 84.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…738ebacked No | 71c | 84.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed No | 44c | 76.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…f569backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…625cbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…44bcbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e968backed Yes | 68c | 59.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 70c | 59.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked No | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…91b8backed Yes | 29c | 59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…423cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 72c | 45.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…01bebacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…4a8abacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 72c | 41.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…1ca4backed No | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…ce60backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf9…1751backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…c581backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 39.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…f5dabacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…7fe3backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…979dbacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…fb89backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 68c | 33.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…ec7dbacked No | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…e4c8backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2963…6fd5backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…e34fbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…73dfbacked No | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b736backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…5c35backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…bf5bbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…05b4backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Yes | 55c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…af19backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…3d2abacked No | 73c | 16.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…a98ebacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2220backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…6b70backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…ca3ebacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…4b48backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…c525backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…cf88backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?No won
- Will Feyenoord vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.