TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x519f…2af7backed Spurs52c22,971$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,970.933455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…65aebacked Raptors54c22,111$11,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,940.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors52c17,542$9,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,120.81,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7e…94c6backed Spurs46c11,142$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe915…b290backed Spurs46c11,015$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Raptors50c10,044$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.783636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Raptors50c7,700$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8503327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Spurs50c7,603$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.3220047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs48c6,162$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.7377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs48c5,447$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.3236748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs52c4,906$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.9820238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors47c3,927$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.851,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors50c3,310$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors43c3,217$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.9333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Raptors1c3,140$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.527502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Spurs52c3,093$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.8216563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Spurs48c2,100$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10028341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Raptors51c2,092$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0644731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Raptors13c1,950$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9910925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs50c1,888$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Raptors54c1,840$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Spurs46c1,840$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs50c1,695$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Spurs48c1,684$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Spurs47c1,546$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.5129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Raptors20c1,514$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Spurs52c1,410$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.820050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Spurs48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Raptors54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Spurs46c996$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…9f20backed Spurs52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Raptors49c853$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4314034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Raptors22c841.4$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Raptors12c815.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2116919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs55c806.3$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Spurs52c800$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3866358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs74c768.85$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Spurs51c751$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.337230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Spurs47c737.26$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.7519149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58e…651abacked Raptors54c730.75$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors53c697.82$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c53…1977backed Spurs50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Raptors4c599.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs78c582.87$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.145,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors54c550.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Raptors55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Spurs49c500$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25736434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs48c499.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Spurs80c475.09$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0219451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Raptors51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.513138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors47c443.86$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.621,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…152cbacked Spurs51c436.27$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335f…55c8backed Raptors50c436$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs49c406.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.741,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs48c393.9$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d50…3b2fbacked Spurs50c388.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.381275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Raptors54c387.46$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2317943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Raptors52c384.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.218354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd447…f42cbacked Spurs47c370.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.281687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+62.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs48c365.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.371,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Raptors55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Raptors54c357.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Raptors53c332.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.497055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs49c328$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.281,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Spurs46c327.61$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9113929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Raptors32c305.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4136751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs50c304.58$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Spurs50c302.7$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3534852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Raptors55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Spurs48c270.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.831330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Raptors19c268.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs50c248.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Spurs68c244.19$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1910066%66 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187a…f263backed Raptors52c243.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Raptors49c220.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7420756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs49c217.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Spurs47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7716129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked Spurs48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f2…eaf1backed Raptors52c204.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…ed06backed Spurs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa929…1baabacked Raptors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c28…3bcabacked Raptors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…b24cbacked Raptors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…affbbacked Raptors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x951c…97d8backed Spurs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985735.1%20 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63d6…86bdbacked Spurs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d8…ddfcbacked Raptors48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950b…6d88backed Spurs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…3ab5backed Spurs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…61febacked Raptors49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…f843backed Raptors48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965040%20 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7458…2f77backed Spurs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.