Fifa International · resolved market
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs. France (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4013de3438dd3f6c2c8ccab46ef48f7c62ffc6ec88106430dc8021531070ab58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed France | 27c | 18,099$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.55 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Spain | 57c | 17,278$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,403.2 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed France | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed France | 39c | 13,602$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed France | 45c | 11,736$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.16 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Spain | 58c | 8,910$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…2143backed France | 4c | 4,494$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Spain | 57c | 4,288$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked France | 27c | 4,269$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed France | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked France | 0c | 2,825$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Spain | 78c | 2,788$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…4e2fbacked France | 45c | 2,466$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Spain | 67c | 2,367$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.77 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Spain | 57c | 2,270$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…78c9backed Spain | 57c | 2,111$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked France | 25c | 2,103$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked France | 45c | 1,838$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Spain | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed France | 13c | 1,699$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed France | 44c | 1,518$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.86 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…a2cebacked France | 17c | 1,401$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…acb0backed France | 13c | 1,283$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…1bfdbacked France | 1c | 1,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Spain | 57c | 1,048$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed France | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spain | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8617backed France | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed France | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…c013backed Spain | 57c | 935.35$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…8160backed France | 28c | 934$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…f06abacked France | 26c | 923.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…15a7backed Spain | 55c | 905$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked France | 50c | 802.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed France | 33c | 784.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed France | 36c | 738.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Spain | 56c | 733.4$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed France | 45c | 705.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed France | 45c | 637.76$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Spain | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed France | 22c | 599.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Spain | 77c | 561.19$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked France | 46c | 548.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaa…62dbbacked Spain | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…ad94backed Spain | 56c | 534.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Spain | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…0471backed Spain | 58c | 517.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spain | 66c | 501.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Spain | 58c | 500.37$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…6103backed Spain | 57c | 485.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed France | 45c | 478.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Spain | 57c | 471.09$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed France | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…ca5fbacked France | 20c | 443.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed France | 45c | 414.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Spain | 60c | 413.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Spain | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…5883backed France | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +326.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Spain | 56c | 384.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…465dbacked France | 16c | 377.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Spain | 57c | 358$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Spain | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Spain | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Spain | 58c | 344.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed Spain | 56c | 340.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…4c80backed Spain | 55c | 330$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed Spain | 56c | 330$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed France | 43c | 325.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Spain | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed France | 25c | 277.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Spain | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked France | 11c | 270$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Spain | 56c | 267.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked France | 31c | 267.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…76bebacked France | 10c | 261.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Spain | 57c | 261.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed France | 43c | 260.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Spain | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…1470backed Spain | 58c | 234.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed Spain | 56c | 224.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked France | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed France | 45c | 221.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed France | 46c | 219.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked France | 45c | 208.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…f4bebacked Spain | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked France | 25c | 200.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Spain | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed France | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed France | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Spain | 56c | 193.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…e510backed Spain | 58c | 186.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Spain | 55c | 180.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Spain | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…d4c9backed Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Spain | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…c045backed France | 29c | 173.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.