Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c2b35b6a3784a66b4207b94593f9ed101a1aa48890d572533a98db31ff08c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof REKONIX, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 6,122$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.55 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 33c | 3,771$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,595$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.4 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 27c | 2,421$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.17 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,160$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX | 29c | 2,085$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.14 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked REKONIX | 33c | 1,793$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.65 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,350$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.26 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,284$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked REKONIX | 28c | 1,250$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed REKONIX | 27c | 1,161$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed REKONIX | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 33c | 867$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Team Liquid | 73c | 848$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked REKONIX | 27c | 783.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Liquid | 72c | 756$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Liquid | 71c | 741.84$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 72c | 696.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Liquid | 65c | 520$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 28c | 480.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 30c | 372$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed REKONIX | 20c | 343.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked REKONIX | 27c | 310.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 69c | 299.53$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 74c | 271.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked REKONIX | 27c | 245.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed REKONIX | 31c | 213.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 28c | 208.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 205.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Team Liquid | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Team Liquid | 71c | 157.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX | 28c | 156.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed REKONIX | 29c | 152.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked REKONIX | 29c | 151.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 29c | 150.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 144.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed REKONIX | 27c | 141.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 139$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Team Liquid | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 79c | 128.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed REKONIX | 29c | 117.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 32c | 117$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed REKONIX | 28c | 116.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed REKONIX | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 104.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…ad5abacked REKONIX | 29c | 100.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Liquid | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed REKONIX | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked REKONIX | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed REKONIX | 34c | 88.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…2794backed REKONIX | 28c | 85.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed REKONIX | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Liquid | 71c | 74.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6862backed Team Liquid | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…4fd4backed Team Liquid | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 73.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed REKONIX | 28c | 71.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked REKONIX | 35c | 71.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked REKONIX | 22c | 66.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Liquid | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…c41bbacked REKONIX | 27c | 54.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed REKONIX | 22c | 50.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Liquid | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked REKONIX | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Team Liquid | 73c | 49.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed REKONIX | 28c | 43.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed REKONIX | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Liquid | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Team Liquid | 72c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Liquid | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Team Liquid | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Team Liquid | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.