TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,164 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9a2…27a0backed No0c91,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c54,274$14,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,162.8835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No74c50,000$37,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,999.916145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c26,138$18,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,972.2490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c15,247$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,151.664,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No74c10,700$7,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9183452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c10,521$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,521.25726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No73c10,416$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,589.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes27c9,900$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,226.993839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c7,933$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.581,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Yes24c6,667$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,066.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c4,633$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.613053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c3,792$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No74c3,446$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+87.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5788…656fbacked Yes7c3,042$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,362.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e14…6bb7backed Yes8c2,840$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,212.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85035148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No75c2,042$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.641040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes27c2,042$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.666346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc83…e52dbacked No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes25c1,989$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.244025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes65c1,860$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.181,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes30c1,772$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.353633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes18c1,542$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.3510927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c1,539$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.3792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,485$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.982,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No23c1,305$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a2…9ac5backed Yes53c1,143$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c994.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c857.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No6c826.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.676056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No13c792.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Yes25c761$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.751625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c723.45$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.292060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes31c708.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.126536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes9c619.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.383435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes26c607.58$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.9717032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c587$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes18c561.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.112035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7111929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No12c532.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.946235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No76c462.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.519557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No48c443.04$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes80c437.45$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.451090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No4c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes34c397.06$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.062060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6212755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1423152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No73c338$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.746160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Yes24c330.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.55425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes25c310$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked No76c310$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.63040%12 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1215446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes61c289.56$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.713221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes26c271.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c269.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes50c269.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.758075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes26c268.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6128847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes26c263.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.792321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes18c250.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.134042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes26c206.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3626641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes11c200$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1782330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No74c199.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.981154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes18c179.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+453.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes26c178.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7230749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed Yes11c178.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+264.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.471844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c170.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3175451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c167.65$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7123455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked No73c166.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Yes25c157.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.811747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c149.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes55c144.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb6…dca0backed Yes13c137$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+681.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc332…59a9backed Yes54c136$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed No79c133$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.742748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes15c124.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.689721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…ded5backed Yes26c124$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.