Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto beat Roma?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27f06da36790b53ebdd5f33749f4a80e1d76935898f4bfb8b8d92983c1317d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 62c | 2,250$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.79 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Yes | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed No | 63c | 899.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 38c | 562.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 36c | 452.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 64c | 448.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 61c | 140.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 14c | 100.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 36c | 87.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 61c | 85.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 38c | 79.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…93a6backed No | 67c | 76.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…7b74backed Yes | 40c | 66.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…69c1backed No | 63c | 49.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 37c | 48.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 37c | 39.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f40…95b9backed No | 63c | 37.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…94abbacked Yes | 37c | 37.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 40c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…0289backed No | 61c | 35.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb10…9506backed Yes | 39c | 35.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…21bfbacked No | 63c | 35.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…e87bbacked No | 63c | 35.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…2d8ebacked Yes | 37c | 35.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…2d97backed Yes | 37c | 35.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…2c3cbacked No | 63c | 35.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…4e7dbacked No | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…61d6backed Yes | 37c | 33.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…fa63backed Yes | 36c | 33.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2b64backed Yes | 37c | 33.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…ccfcbacked No | 63c | 33.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…fd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 29.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…2e8abacked Yes | 39c | 28.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…ff62backed No | 63c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…d241backed No | 63c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…253ebacked No | 60c | 28.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked No | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…bef0backed Yes | 37c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…6f3bbacked No | 63c | 27.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…4d29backed No | 63c | 25.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…a4eabacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…e2acbacked No | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…438bbacked Yes | 41c | 24.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…d91bbacked No | 63c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…9f4bbacked No | 63c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…5bb6backed No | 63c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…1068backed No | 63c | 20.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…2042backed No | 63c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…ad6bbacked No | 64c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto beat Roma?this page
- Will Roma beat FC Porto?No won
- Will the match between FC Porto and Roma end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.