Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf91bda6019bdb42e88bccbb6b586266e9e2308447675ae24d55017a4f6613c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Andrea Pellegrino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 0c | 56,699$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 47,831$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.43 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 47,710$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.88 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 37,328$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +450.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…81c2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 30,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…da73backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 29,912$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 16,799$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.46 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Pellegrino | 1c | 15,558$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Andrea Pellegrino | 3c | 13,872$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.58 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 12,440$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…de0ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 7,150$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 6,900$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 5,400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Andrea Pellegrino | 0c | 4,441$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Andrea Pellegrino | 1c | 4,273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Andrea Pellegrino | 1c | 3,827$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 3,096$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,609$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,273$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,273$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Andrea Pellegrino | 1c | 2,091$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,034$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,023$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 1,772$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 1,423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Andrea Pellegrino | 3c | 666.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…1dcbbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 639.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Andrea Pellegrino | 2c | 611.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Andrea Pellegrino | 3c | 353.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrea Pellegrinothis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs PellegrinoSinner won
- Sinner vs. Pellegrino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Pellegrino: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.