La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1bad6202e5c5fbfd6b9c09e7ea2cc5b50850b66187f0b39cd90d8d6ef6abd93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 6c | 52,778$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.46 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 50,017$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.61 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 30,252$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.04 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 7c | 27,748$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.34 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,775$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 14,233$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Yes | 7c | 11,900$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…243fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +706.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 6,780$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.39 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 4c | 6,569$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed Yes | 7c | 6,074$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 2c | 5,315$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 7c | 4,943$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…9cf6backed Yes | 7c | 4,283$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 7c | 3,732$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 3,048$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,061$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,989$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 6c | 1,916$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 1,699$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 1,166$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 1,138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 5c | 1,067$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 2c | 874.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…eb03backed Yes | 7c | 840$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 7c | 768$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 7c | 728.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 8c | 605.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…db78backed Yes | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 7c | 579$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 7c | 561.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…afc9backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 8c | 494$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 8c | 454.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…2ee6backed Yes | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 8c | 442.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…00e7backed Yes | 3c | 366.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 7c | 324.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 308$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…dbc7backed Yes | 7c | 294.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Yes | 7c | 289.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…c99cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 7c | 246.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…9018backed Yes | 9c | 207.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…df63backed Yes | 8c | 182.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 7c | 172.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 6c | 168.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 7c | 167.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 7c | 155.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Yes | 8c | 142.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked Yes | 7c | 142.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…3f22backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…886dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.