La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72b7dfc0241b57aaec3d0b0d1b94c3ec43741704fe9610004823cc9685dffdb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,961 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 2,907$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,692$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 11c | 904.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 11c | 814.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 8c | 690.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Yes | 11c | 476$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 10c | 466.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 456.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 10c | 440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 12c | 432$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…472ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 10c | 275.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…9018backed Yes | 13c | 257$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Yes | 14c | 243.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 9c | 201.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…677bbacked Yes | 11c | 175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…c91dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed Yes | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…2332backed Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 10c | 144.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…7760backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…5e6fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…5f98backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…afc9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 11c | 96.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.