Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc0544ac9375a23b27116e369b904a810e64e1f6ecec992fda23745c5fd7f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 29c | 40,899$11,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,934.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 56c | 34,611$19,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,352.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 27,328$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,244.11 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 27,168$15,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,850.74 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 21,775$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 68c | 16,910$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 66c | 15,127$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Yes | 40c | 14,037$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 35c | 12,543$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 35c | 12,094$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 51c | 11,282$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 36c | 11,241$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,180.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 10,895$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.5 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 7,754$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.79 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 47c | 7,627$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.47 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 6,854$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.1 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 56c | 5,656$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 41c | 5,084$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 15c | 4,669$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 4,651$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.16 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 4,150$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 37c | 3,424$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.06 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Yes | 14c | 3,383$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 3,322$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.53 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 3,167$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.06 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 3,077$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.72 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 6c | 2,992$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 31c | 2,462$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.63 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 34c | 2,346$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 2,202$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,987$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.78 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 49c | 1,961$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 13c | 1,922$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.22 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Yes | 61c | 1,631$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 38c | 1,585$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.87 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 28c | 1,502$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.18 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 14c | 1,427$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 14c | 1,386$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.71 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 1,328$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.71 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 57c | 1,221$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked No | 8c | 1,210$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 30c | 1,190$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,188$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 66c | 1,065$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 67c | 1,036$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.33 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 28cpaid | +223%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 66c | 999.99$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 14c | 968$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 15c | 939$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 31c | 913.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 846.04$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.34 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 845.07$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 17c | 824.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 35c | 802.86$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 62c | 802.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…fc0cbacked Yes | 17c | 759.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 8c | 757.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.06 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 699.28$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 41c | 672.83$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 17c | 625$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.75 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 60c | 547.12$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.27 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 31c | 473.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…da09backed Yes | 42c | 460$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 18c | 454.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 66c | 432.58$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…a6c6backed Yes | 41c | 400.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked No | 54c | 380.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 42c | 372.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 77c | 369.22$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 57c | 343.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 59c | 339.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 61c | 328.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 61c | 326$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 60c | 323.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 22c | 321.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed No | 66c | 314$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 68c | 310.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 70c | 285.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 74c | 273.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 58c | 266.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 7c | 265.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 68c | 262.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 15c | 238$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 233.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.85 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 27c | 230.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.