TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brando Pericicof Louie Sutherland, Brando Pericic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,537 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Brando Pericic67c298,665$199,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,883.53842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Louie Sutherland33c98,000$32,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,34010542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Louie Sutherland33c49,855$16,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,304.227534.7%26 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Louie Sutherland34c33,000$11,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2204245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Louie Sutherland33c29,074$9,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,685.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Louie Sutherland33c27,270$8,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.16238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Louie Sutherland33c19,943$6,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,581.1810035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Louie Sutherland34c15,265$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,190450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Louie Sutherland5c14,253$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6818038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Louie Sutherland33c13,686$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,516.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Louie Sutherland32c11,421$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.429133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Louie Sutherland29c8,386$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.8615939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Louie Sutherland33c8,172$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.761435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Louie Sutherland33c7,692$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Louie Sutherland30c5,840$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.4135848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Louie Sutherland32c5,459$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.8914551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Brando Pericic72c5,030$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.329151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Louie Sutherland33c5,000$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.997245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Louie Sutherland34c4,395$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.9510546.7%49 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Brando Pericic67c3,720$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Brando Pericic69c3,232$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Louie Sutherland32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9830039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Louie Sutherland34c2,904$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2420233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Brando Pericic68c2,617$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.565955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Louie Sutherland33c2,480$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.44548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Louie Sutherland33c2,400$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7921442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Louie Sutherland33c2,194$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.346048.3%29 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Brando Pericic69c1,924$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4711657.8%67 W · 49 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brando Pericic67c1,683$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.998848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Louie Sutherland32c1,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Louie Sutherland34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012833.6%43 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Brando Pericic69c1,443$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Brando Pericic69c1,435$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.149746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Louie Sutherland32c1,314$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.419247.8%44 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Louie Sutherland29c1,244$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.494240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Louie Sutherland33c1,196$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.638622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Louie Sutherland29c1,084$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8622438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Louie Sutherland33c1,063$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.22045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Louie Sutherland30c1,062$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.313148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Brando Pericic67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33030964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Louie Sutherland1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Louie Sutherland1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Louie Sutherland1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Brando Pericic67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Louie Sutherland29c985$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.475841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Louie Sutherland33c978$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7421044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Brando Pericic68c900$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2885052%26 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Louie Sutherland33c896.96$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2969228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Louie Sutherland33c896.12$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1210949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Louie Sutherland32c880$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Louie Sutherland31c820.49$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3542054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Louie Sutherland33c764.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.453246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Louie Sutherland31c749.13$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2520837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Brando Pericic68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2910270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Louie Sutherland9c732.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Brando Pericic69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Louie Sutherland34c614.1$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.793839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Louie Sutherland33c608.48$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.87244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Louie Sutherland33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Brando Pericic68c600$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Louie Sutherland32c596.09$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.562437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Brando Pericic69c580.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.538640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Louie Sutherland31c577.77$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.123852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked Louie Sutherland33c570$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.11323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Brando Pericic67c537.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Brando Pericic68c510$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.236655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Brando Pericic68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Louie Sutherland30c478.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6956450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Brando Pericic68c469$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0811761.5%72 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Brando Pericic69c446.16$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.235265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Brando Pericic68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1811364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Louie Sutherland5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Louie Sutherland27c396.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5733132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Louie Sutherland33c393.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Louie Sutherland33c380.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Brando Pericic67c378.36$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.868246.3%38 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Brando Pericic68c371.22$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.798856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Louie Sutherland33c359$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.47520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Brando Pericic67c332.68$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.684639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Brando Pericic67c330$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.816543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdffe…2c52backed Brando Pericic70c319.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.23953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Brando Pericic67c317.64$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Brando Pericic68c315$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Louie Sutherland33c308.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Louie Sutherland34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7604…78b5backed Brando Pericic70c290$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Louie Sutherland30c247.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Louie Sutherland33c229.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.665250%26 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Brando Pericic67c222.4$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3915556.8%88 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Louie Sutherland22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4390553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5173…c07cbacked Brando Pericic69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626150.8%31 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Louie Sutherland31c199.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9915540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Louie Sutherland34c197.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Louie Sutherland34c194.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Louie Sutherland33c188.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3717524%42 W · 133 L-22.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x343d…cd2ebacked Louie Sutherland32c170$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.49959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Brando Pericic72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Brando Pericic68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x676b…5bc3backed Brando Pericic67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Brando Pericic67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.