Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a67e20ce1490d9ca6a23305ef0ba2e3c27be8f38493f8601e865d4fc74056e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 18c | 21,590$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.85 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Up | 74c | 13,857$10,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.87 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Up | 38c | 8,208$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.41 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Up | 80c | 7,692$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 29c | 5,148$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.32 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Down | 20c | 4,459$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.08 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Down | 15c | 4,332$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.24 | 152 | 21.7%33 W · 119 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Down | 77c | 3,874$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Up | 75c | 2,825$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Up | 31c | 2,692$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 19c | 2,498$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.03 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Down | 40c | 2,427$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.79 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Down | 27c | 2,177$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.05 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Down | 2c | 1,541$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Down | 3c | 1,510$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Down | 23c | 1,301$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Up | 19c | 1,294$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…7cfabacked Up | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Down | 67c | 1,128$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Down | 20c | 1,029$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Up | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…936dbacked Down | 15c | 927.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…de61backed Down | 25c | 861$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed Down | 19c | 850$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 71c | 800$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492c…26c5backed Down | 25c | 754.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed Down | 24c | 698$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…738dbacked Up | 75c | 672$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed Down | 74c | 600$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed Down | 23c | 588.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…3407backed Up | 55c | 556.67$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5e1backed Down | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Down | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…b275backed Up | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c974backed Up | 77c | 500$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Down | 26c | 401.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Down | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Down | 30c | 399.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…1343backed Down | 11c | 359.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked Up | 78c | 358$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Up | 48c | 334.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Down | 32c | 323.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Up | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked Down | 20c | 294.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Up | 76c | 283.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Down | 19c | 230$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked Up | 79c | 220.48$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 65c | 207.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Up | 59c | 200.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Down | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…b127backed Up | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…8172backed Up | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…bcfdbacked Up | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Down | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…76cfbacked Up | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Up | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…ea9cbacked Down | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…467bbacked Down | 57c | 197.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Up | 34c | 159.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked Down | 8c | 155.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…02d2backed Down | 32c | 153.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked Down | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Down | 59c | 142.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 365 | 50.4%184 W · 181 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 66c | 139.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…2646backed Down | 10c | 135.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Down | 20c | 132$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…1cc8backed Up | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Down | 67c | 129.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Down | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…43ddbacked Down | 25c | 123.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Up | 63c | 122.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Up | 20c | 122.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…989dbacked Down | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Down | 36c | 102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed Down | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…6a11backed Up | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked Up | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Down | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…b1cabacked Down | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…5600backed Up | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Down | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Up | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed Down | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…4cf0backed Down | 51c | 95.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed Up | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…86babacked Up | 22c | 83.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…68e0backed Up | 22c | 73.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…f1f4backed Up | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…be4cbacked Up | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Down | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…46b5backed Up | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Up | 66c | 45.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Up | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Down | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9f65backed Down | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…4035backed Up | 79c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.