World Politics · resolved market
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ea83a458e4d0c469c449c7272aad8689abd7aa91990ffec359addf31491473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aff…b3a6backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…652dbacked Yes | 56c | 5,296$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 65c | 4,987$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 4c | 4,939$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 16c | 4,670$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.32 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 4,071$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,800$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 40c | 3,324$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.33 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 2,608$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…3596backed No | 69c | 2,008$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 30c | 1,923$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.69 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 27c | 1,870$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 5c | 1,309$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 1,070$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.98 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 76c | 966.88$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 68c | 957.43$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 64c | 736.72$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…c181backed Yes | 3c | 720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 676.84$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 604$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 30c | 598.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 584.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 573$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73a…66bcbacked Yes | 20c | 482.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 66c | 464$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 29c | 461.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…d05abacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7807backed Yes | 35c | 368$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 39c | 299.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 78c | 293.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 287$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 71c | 282.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…de21backed Yes | 21c | 280.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 22cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 271$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 46c | 268.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 58c | 256.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 221$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 215.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 208$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 14c | 205.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…e7c8backed Yes | 30c | 196.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +1,083.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked No | 66c | 187.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 30c | 183.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 49c | 178$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 44c | 169.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…4d52backed Yes | 28c | 158.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…3179backed No | 68c | 148.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 69c | 146.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 39c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed Yes | 49c | 113.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 52c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 20c | 100.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +382.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 98.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 38c | 88.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226f…087fbacked Yes | 13c | 87.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf9…cfe5backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 77c | 75.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 49c | 73.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 66c | 68.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 57.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…e5e4backed Yes | 35c | 53.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 76c | 51.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 28c | 47.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…3e23backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 58c | 37.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked No | 67c | 34.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 39c | 28.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…69a2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…3895backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…9bafbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked No | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 79c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?this page
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?No won
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 6% or more?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.