Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237ae1b5280087042cd5c46c36307e4d76d8a913a55b1d57997cb48aa9d13217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GamerLegion | 1c | 8,527$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 5,359$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.74 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 5,159$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,677$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…72d9backed GamerLegion | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 21c | 1,171$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 994$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 19c | 980.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 796.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed GamerLegion | 3c | 791.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed GamerLegion | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed PARIVISION | 80c | 716.3$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GamerLegion | 9c | 701.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed GamerLegion | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed GamerLegion | 7c | 554.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 510$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked GamerLegion | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed GamerLegion | 22c | 499.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed PARIVISION | 79c | 498.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…a242backed PARIVISION | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked GamerLegion | 4c | 412.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed GamerLegion | 21c | 368.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion | 18c | 323.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed GamerLegion | 16c | 309.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 20c | 299.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION | 78c | 296.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 294.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed GamerLegion | 18c | 260.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 19c | 259.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed GamerLegion | 21c | 230.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed GamerLegion | 18c | 222.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed PARIVISION | 78c | 206.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GamerLegion | 9c | 202.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 8c | 197.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 79c | 197.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 187.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed GamerLegion | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked GamerLegion | 7c | 147.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed GamerLegion | 23c | 138.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 134.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 22c | 132.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed PARIVISION | 80c | 121.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed GamerLegion | 25c | 116.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 114.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed GamerLegion | 21c | 114.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed GamerLegion | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed GamerLegion | 18c | 97.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…c268backed GamerLegion | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed PARIVISION | 79c | 86.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 79.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 19c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed PARIVISION | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed GamerLegion | 21c | 58.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked PARIVISION | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed PARIVISION | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed PARIVISION | 78c | 40.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 39.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2502backed PARIVISION | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…5b8cbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…9edabacked PARIVISION | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed PARIVISION | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed PARIVISION | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc509…3e03backed PARIVISION | 78c | 23.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 14.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…57d9backed PARIVISION | 80c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.