Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd26f4887891c33894c197196ad156e067ec32f99741fc520e8dc503cdd0a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 5,653$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.43 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed GamerLegion | 5c | 3,379$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed GamerLegion | 24c | 3,300$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,685$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 24c | 2,245$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.04 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,731$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.54 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion | 8c | 1,706$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed GamerLegion | 20c | 1,429$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,299$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.76 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,296$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,246$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.09 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 1,187$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.38 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 23c | 1,184$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed GamerLegion | 13c | 1,070$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 912.66$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GamerLegion | 15c | 736.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 595$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 16c | 524.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed PARIVISION | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GamerLegion | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed PARIVISION | 74c | 476.41$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…bff2backed GamerLegion | 13c | 385.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 347.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion | 20c | 333.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 23c | 311.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed PARIVISION | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed GamerLegion | 20c | 290.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked GamerLegion | 12c | 290.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 6c | 288.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 286.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 271.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 259.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed GamerLegion | 13c | 189.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed PARIVISION | 78c | 159.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 75c | 139.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GamerLegion | 23c | 135.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed PARIVISION | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 23c | 129.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed PARIVISION | 77c | 128.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed PARIVISION | 78c | 110.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed GamerLegion | 23c | 110.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked GamerLegion | 22c | 100.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed PARIVISION | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 81.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GamerLegion | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 74.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed GamerLegion | 21c | 60.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed PARIVISION | 76c | 59.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed GamerLegion | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed PARIVISION | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 37.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 32.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed PARIVISION | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PARIVISION | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…f173backed PARIVISION | 78c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 13.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.