Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60424a0f1e31a6dc6445c66bfa570c66e4892e60980bb67f379815271212e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 1,747$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion | 26c | 1,486$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.72 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,338$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 1,050$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 806.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION | 74c | 804.77$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GamerLegion | 18c | 770.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed GamerLegion | 2c | 765.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked GamerLegion | 7c | 623.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed PARIVISION | 74c | 590.64$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed GamerLegion | 25c | 577.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 24c | 510.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 509.97$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed GamerLegion | 12c | 498.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed PARIVISION | 75c | 492.41$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 76c | 476.92$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…33e0backed GamerLegion | 10c | 439.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 428.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 397.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 28c | 393.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 332.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 10c | 329.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 310.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 27c | 293.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GamerLegion | 25c | 283.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 281.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed PARIVISION | 74c | 200.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 77c | 192.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 155.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed PARIVISION | 79c | 146.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 80c | 141.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…0518backed GamerLegion | 23c | 136.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 77c | 125.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed GamerLegion | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed GamerLegion | 27c | 115.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 112.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 88.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 81.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed GamerLegion | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 78c | 70.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 73c | 65.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed PARIVISION | 76c | 58.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 30c | 54.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed PARIVISION | 72c | 51.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed PARIVISION | 73c | 44.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed PARIVISION | 70c | 41.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed PARIVISION | 70c | 32.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…868fbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed PARIVISION | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed PARIVISION | 75c | 13.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.