Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1354fda37aec57d8b0a17827aa1b0b01ee0567c012649088bf09b8fdb64b7140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 71c | 12,814$9,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,115.16 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 72c | 12,124$8,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,704.39 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 7,890$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.98 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.66 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 3,180$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,104$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.01 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 3,025$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 2,951$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.02 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 2,906$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 2,600$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 2,454$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.16 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 7c | 2,342$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 2,222$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +467.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Team Spirit | 74c | 2,153$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,072$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.19 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,980$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.38 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 1,797$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.82 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,759$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,681$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.46 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,663$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.36 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,581$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,525$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 1,422$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.09 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,351$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,313$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.18 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,255$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.32 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,238$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.67 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,234$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.03 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.84 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,079$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,061$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 986.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…fad7backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 985.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 73c | 917.47$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.7 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Spirit | 72c | 894.59$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.88 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 852.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.98 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 842.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.59 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 836.4$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.6 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 795.65$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.74 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 793$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.06 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 781.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 750$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 714.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.02 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 700$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Team Spirit | 76c | 696.94$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.46 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 666.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Team Spirit | 17c | 627.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 621.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.16 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 616.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.77 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 605$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.55 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 594.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Team Spirit | 65c | 591.2$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.09 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…dcc8backed Team Spirit | 31c | 590.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 65c | 587.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.81 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 570.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 563.4$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Spirit | 19c | 552.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 549.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 529.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 512.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 486.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 480.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 474.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.26 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 473.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Team Spirit | 31c | 462.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Spirit | 71c | 458.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit | 65c | 452.29$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Team Spirit | 69c | 445.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 438.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.61 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 435.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.31 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 429.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Spirit | 9c | 415.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 409.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 407.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.78 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Team Spirit | 72c | 405.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Team Spirit | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 72c | 397.28$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 69c | 396.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 395$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…f3c8backed Team Spirit | 75c | 393.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Team Spirit | 72c | 370.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 54c | 360.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Spirit | 51c | 354.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 347.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed Team Spirit | 71c | 343.72$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…f173backed Team Spirit | 8c | 338.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 333.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…da10backed Team Spirit | 71c | 324.58$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Spirit | 55c | 319$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 306.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.