Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c1ebf4043e529256dd22522d61b7aae3163e3e138d599375d3dfff376b7c2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 10,407$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.04 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,772$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.51 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,895$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.32 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,806$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,569$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,499$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.68 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 1,498$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,427$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,422$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,392$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.03 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 848.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 845.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 780$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 752.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 721.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 691.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 78c | 671.42$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Team Spirit | 71c | 589.56$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 579.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 520.78$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 507.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Spirit | 70c | 503.78$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 79c | 485.82$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 448.2$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Team Spirit | 72c | 426.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 393.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 380.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 377.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 376.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 70c | 367.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 366.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 360.59$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 349.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 346.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 315.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 294.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 293.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 271.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 247.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 247.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Spirit | 74c | 246.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 244.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 223.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 220.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Spirit | 73c | 209.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 193.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 70c | 179.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 174.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Spirit | 67c | 159.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 157$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 156.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 148.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 141.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 138.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 133.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit | 77c | 133$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 128.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 125.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 123.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed Team Spirit | 69c | 112.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 69c | 103.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…ffc9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Team Spirit | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 96.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 89.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Spirit | 70c | 87.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 75c | 82.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 78.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Spirit | 70c | 68.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 67.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 64.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 62.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 51.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Team Spirit | 72c | 41.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Team Spirit | 68c | 35.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 35.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Spirit | 80c | 33.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…f173backed Team Spirit | 76c | 30.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Team Spirit | 66c | 29.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 75c | 25.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 73c | 25.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Team Spirit | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Spirit | 72c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Team Spirit | 78c | 19.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.