Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8db30c69d57c8794601abd1d6ed8a4debdf09085c56ec99b83cef3905a059f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 64c | 5,858$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.33 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…57acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,393$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 4,346$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.13 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,962$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 71c | 3,841$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.26 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,762$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.96 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 3,759$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.85 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 3,097$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.16 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…4af8backed Team Spirit | 1c | 2,822$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 2,465$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.17 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,990$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,897$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.66 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,754$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 1,631$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,442$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,307$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.23 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,241$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.95 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,233$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 28c | 1,220$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,207$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.88 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 59c | 899.99$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 794.02$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 777.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.16 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 74c | 756.54$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.84 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 733.35$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 699.95$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.21 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 698.6$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 693.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.89 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 636.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.56 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 69c | 625.03$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.74 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 602.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 45c | 594.3$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 584.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.03 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 41c | 577.65$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.13 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 63c | 564.62$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit | 68c | 557.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 545.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Team Spirit | 60c | 504.88$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d78bbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 494.56$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 467.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.53 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Team Spirit | 65c | 452.82$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 430.51$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 73c | 365.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 79c | 345.33$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…a6cebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 343$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 338.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Team Spirit | 25c | 335.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4482…37f6backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 332.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Spirit | 74c | 303.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 298.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 297.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 289.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 285.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 260.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 258.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 75c | 257.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Team Spirit | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Spirit | 76c | 233.43$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 219.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Team Spirit | 76c | 211.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Spirit | 9c | 204.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Spirit | 46c | 203.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 201.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Spirit | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 190.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 188.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 179.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 179.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Spirit | 53c | 172.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Spirit | 69c | 170.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Spirit | 47c | 165.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Team Spirit | 76c | 162.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…1a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 162.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Spirit | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 146.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Team Spirit | 49c | 145.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Team Spirit | 29c | 144.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 144.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 142.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 141.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 139.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 134.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Team Spirit | 11c | 131.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 127.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Team Spirit | 51c | 123.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 118.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 117.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 109.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team Spirit | 77c | 109.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Team Spirit | 77c | 109.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.