CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0db8f1a622c0e82c201c550e76ad73099d0b8f2d575153133c86d5653b0c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ESC Gamingof ESC Gaming, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ESC Gaming | 67c | 10,394$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ESC Gaming | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.96 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed ESC Gaming | 59c | 5,798$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed ESC Gaming | 64c | 5,128$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed STATE | 33c | 4,503$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.1 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 44c | 3,367$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed STATE | 30c | 3,244$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.87 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed ESC Gaming | 54c | 3,212$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.27 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed STATE | 33c | 2,642$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.84 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ESC Gaming | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked STATE | 45c | 2,274$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed STATE | 22c | 2,214$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed STATE | 30c | 2,098$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.35 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ESC Gaming | 56c | 1,879$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.52 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed ESC Gaming | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 38c | 1,425$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed STATE | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 1,292$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 33c | 1,286$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed STATE | 36c | 1,116$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked STATE | 41c | 1,063$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.41 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed STATE | 44c | 947.63$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked STATE | 37c | 912.55$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ESC Gaming | 69c | 864.25$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.92 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…fa95backed ESC Gaming | 55c | 827.54$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed STATE | 46c | 802.38$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed STATE | 30c | 788.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked STATE | 35c | 761.96$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 36c | 751.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked ESC Gaming | 67c | 749.5$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed STATE | 45c | 677.04$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.99 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked STATE | 34c | 675.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…9374backed ESC Gaming | 56c | 633.15$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed STATE | 35c | 625.68$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ESC Gaming | 70c | 561.25$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed ESC Gaming | 60c | 517.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE | 44c | 510.7$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…fcd9backed STATE | 39c | 510.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed STATE | 46c | 508.12$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…7bbbbacked ESC Gaming | 65c | 491.66$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed STATE | 39c | 491.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked ESC Gaming | 68c | 454.82$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed STATE | 45c | 393.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed STATE | 39c | 368.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed STATE | 44c | 360.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked STATE | 36c | 356.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ESC Gaming | 63c | 349.45$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 32c | 341.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed STATE | 45c | 336.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ESC Gaming | 66c | 313.71$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed STATE | 36c | 302.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked STATE | 47c | 294.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed ESC Gaming | 67c | 292.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ESC Gaming | 57c | 290.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed ESC Gaming | 71c | 288.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed STATE | 45c | 279.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…af3bbacked STATE | 24c | 260$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed STATE | 47c | 259.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed STATE | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed ESC Gaming | 69c | 248.26$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ESC Gaming | 55c | 243.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked STATE | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked STATE | 46c | 223.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed ESC Gaming | 55c | 223.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked ESC Gaming | 63c | 203.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…6e3fbacked ESC Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed STATE | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed STATE | 44c | 188.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked STATE | 46c | 180.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed STATE | 33c | 180.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed STATE | 54c | 178.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed STATE | 44c | 178.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…caccbacked STATE | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked STATE | 44c | 167.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…9a83backed ESC Gaming | 71c | 164.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ESC Gaming | 72c | 147.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…08f4backed ESC Gaming | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed STATE | 10c | 134$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked ESC Gaming | 74c | 133.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked STATE | 29c | 129.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked STATE | 29c | 122.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked STATE | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked STATE | 45c | 116.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed STATE | 45c | 113.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked STATE | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STATE | 37c | 108.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…6816backed STATE | 45c | 107.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed STATE | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked STATE | 44c | 107.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ESC Gaming | 72c | 104.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked STATE | 44c | 104.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…dd7abacked ESC Gaming | 53c | 103.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed STATE | 30c | 102.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ESC Gaming | 69c | 101.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked STATE | 33c | 101.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked STATE | 43c | 99.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…93e3backed STATE | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed STATE | 43c | 98.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed STATE | 41c | 97.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerESC Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.