TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes32c152,073$47,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,945.976832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes8c70,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6007936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No68c52,209$35,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,707.0110948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c47,568$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.214,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c17,060$11,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,288.661,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c16,105$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.961,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c14,544$10,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,525.032,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c13,277$9,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.9910539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c12,812$10,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.2590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes8c9,655$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.3735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No69c8,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes8c7,614$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.4240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd457…af52backed No68c7,341$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c7,321$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.733,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes8c6,648$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8609457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c5,058$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No70c4,814$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.171275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c4,010$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.9515051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes8c3,543$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.44933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c3,432$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked No70c3,319$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes8c2,953$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.823957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.86657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.828357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes8c2,485$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.89164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.882846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes8c1,606$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No68c1,585$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes8c1,401$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes8c1,292$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3633161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes8c1,292$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.366762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked No69c1,281$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c1,241$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4810957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c1,161$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3109056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes10c950.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No69c900$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27910759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2489753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes8c700.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.013582.9%29 W · 6 L+8.3wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+64.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes8c683.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.684269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No70c612.18$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1869058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1869556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2419555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.242853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No69c528.22$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.756746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No69c508.74$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15548153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1559660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1559354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes30c497$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.31872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes8c490.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.233759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No68c466.79$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1631952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x267a…79ebbacked No70c464.49$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c463.84$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Yes8c422.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85068%34 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.212863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes32c386.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.74128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No69c370$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.712066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes9c302.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes31c299.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Yes9c299.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No70c294.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3812954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes8c289.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.193171%22 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes8c289.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.192774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes8c289.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1922456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes10c283.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes9c269.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6314333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.