TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2334…69b6backed Yes16c4,559$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.832544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Yes28c2,544$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No73c2,544$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.545764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes30c2,149$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.659244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c2,132$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.481,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.997561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c1,982$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c1,782$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes31c1,546$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.36848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes3c1,413$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.96642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c1,001$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.41741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c890.01$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c855.84$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.012,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c793.4$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No69c729.42$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.127667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No70c699.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed No71c695.81$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.637864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c608.19$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3869750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes10c604.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes32c599.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.842045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c548.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c531.12$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c325.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7215940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes28c306.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8731952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c299.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9212338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c285.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No72c264.47$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0520360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No72c264.47$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.056657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No72c264.47$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.059164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed No71c257.02$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No72c254.74$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3322758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes30c231.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.599851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes31c216.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.19833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No70c210.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.135255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes32c197.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.246225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No69c170.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes8c150.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No67c149.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2348934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes33c146.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.286163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes31c139.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1410440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1313668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c133.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No72c126.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.533161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No72c126.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c117.07$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes31c102.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.94047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7913844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No71c86.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2310062%62 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…1414backed No69c82.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb4…71c3backed Yes31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c71.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c71.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.031,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0717856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f0…ece9backed Yes30c63.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x078f…aa10backed Yes32c59.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.189145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…3242backed Yes30c55.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No79c50.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No69c48.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.165959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c47.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c47.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.269250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c43.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes30c41.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked No71c41.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes30c41.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4711566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71e9…6466backed No71c40.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No71c37.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8419953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c36.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No70c31.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c29.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5510561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No71c29.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.559861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6510464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc4…e114backed No70c25.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No69c23.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No74c23.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.044269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No70c21.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No70c20.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.146051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No74c19.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed No72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed No71c19.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.77454.1%40 W · 34 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc942…a8a1backed No72c13.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid+35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.