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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, BakS eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27e4…4803backed Virtus.pro62c3,432$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.263852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed Virtus.pro55c3,423$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.49952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Virtus.pro77c2,713$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8817558.9%103 W · 72 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BakS eSports19c2,502$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.323,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Virtus.pro72c2,225$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.667152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BakS eSports26c2,158$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.951,43233.6%481 W · 951 L+41.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed BakS eSports25c2,019$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.553528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked BakS eSports25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038847.7%185 W · 203 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BakS eSports39c1,913$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.85,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BakS eSports13c1,888$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.073,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BakS eSports32c1,804$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.288,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BakS eSports33c1,722$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.153,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked BakS eSports48c1,690$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.1716343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed BakS eSports28c1,584$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.7753342.6%227 W · 306 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro53c1,337$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.141,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BakS eSports24c1,270$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.425542.4%108 W · 147 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BakS eSports41c1,195$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.214,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Virtus.pro72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2120960.8%127 W · 82 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Virtus.pro72c1,078$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5619358%112 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed BakS eSports27c1,068$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.621,33544%588 W · 747 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Virtus.pro80c1,017$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5744875.7%339 W · 109 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed BakS eSports37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Virtus.pro69c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.995867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked BakS eSports12c924.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.638933.7%30 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed Virtus.pro53c825.75$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2517644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BakS eSports18c646.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.465,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed BakS eSports31c636.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015923.3%37 W · 122 L-18.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed BakS eSports22c611.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4970432.1%226 W · 478 L-45.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Virtus.pro50c603.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.628458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BakS eSports12c559.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.82,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Virtus.pro66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17020756%116 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BakS eSports27c490.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.485,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed BakS eSports33c453.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BakS eSports49c414.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20355643.9%244 W · 312 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed BakS eSports48c406.1$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.935944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba63…4883backed Virtus.pro74c403.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked BakS eSports17c400$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6678634%267 W · 519 L-49.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed BakS eSports28c370$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Virtus.pro68c335.61$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.42236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Virtus.pro67c329.07$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3491131%282 W · 629 L-63.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed BakS eSports31c324.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Virtus.pro72c322.06$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.563360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BakS eSports13c317.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.452,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Virtus.pro70c313.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1739338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…417abacked Virtus.pro76c307.82$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.445856.9%33 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Virtus.pro68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978347%39 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked BakS eSports49c288.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.151,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Virtus.pro74c251.49$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6151252.9%271 W · 241 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BakS eSports27c240.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed BakS eSports34c235$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.651446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed BakS eSports39c230.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.337142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Virtus.pro65c225$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5660232.4%195 W · 407 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro68c211.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed BakS eSports20c208$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.212,42246.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L-56.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed BakS eSports17c203.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9214537.2%54 W · 91 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Virtus.pro66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6882942.5%352 W · 477 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed BakS eSports45c193$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8513249.2%65 W · 67 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro68c188.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Virtus.pro53c183.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1818862.2%117 W · 71 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BakS eSports54c179$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.022,58941.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L-123.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked BakS eSports34c177.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked BakS eSports35c172.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BakS eSports25c168.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.075,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Virtus.pro59c165.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.829455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro77c164.03$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.74,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Virtus.pro66c159.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.811,63443.2%706 W · 928 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Virtus.pro75c157.89$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4733757.9%195 W · 142 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed BakS eSports26c151.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4085755.8%478 W · 379 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed BakS eSports36c140$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.950942.8%218 W · 291 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked BakS eSports27c136.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.919829.3%58 W · 140 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Virtus.pro71c126.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.950942%214 W · 295 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Virtus.pro70c117.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2757049.8%284 W · 286 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef2…44c9backed BakS eSports34c116$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.443141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…b067backed BakS eSports34c115.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked BakS eSports19c115.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9523944.4%106 W · 133 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed BakS eSports24c114$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8240140.4%162 W · 239 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c24…8382backed BakS eSports36c111.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed BakS eSports26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Virtus.pro72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.85972.9%43 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed BakS eSports35c105.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0136849.7%183 W · 185 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2793261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Virtus.pro67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.574853.5%400 W · 348 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BakS eSports31c92.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf62…081cbacked Virtus.pro68c89.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Virtus.pro74c79.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81,95047.8%932 W · 1,018 L-50.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked Virtus.pro75c79.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.719545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed BakS eSports28c78.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0641256.8%234 W · 178 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Virtus.pro73c77.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9417449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Virtus.pro69c77.77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.122,19247.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Virtus.pro71c76.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.61,45052.9%767 W · 683 L+34.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Virtus.pro60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed BakS eSports33c73.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6277446.1%357 W · 417 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Virtus.pro68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.536256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Virtus.pro63c70.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.223141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Virtus.pro49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.729156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked BakS eSports35c61.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2274653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked BakS eSports37c58.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.498564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee7…8868backed BakS eSports32c58.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed BakS eSports33c57.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0436541.6%152 W · 213 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Virtus.pro69c55.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321,04253.1%553 W · 489 L+62.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.