CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fee68deccf990fee847c406549a8ab022cf41419dd5eb883b1655deb4c04a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BakS eSportsof Virtus.pro, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BakS eSports | 61c | 2,653$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.24 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,195$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,068$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.02 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked BakS eSports | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.48 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BakS eSports | 47c | 815.88$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.59 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BakS eSports | 59c | 610.56$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5508backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 508.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 348.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 266$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed BakS eSports | 47c | 257.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 195.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 159.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed BakS eSports | 68c | 132.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 81.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 51.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked BakS eSports | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 42.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 35.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8382backed BakS eSports | 63c | 27.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…dd16backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed BakS eSports | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BakS eSports | 63c | 21.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed BakS eSports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs BakS eSports (+1.5)BakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.