CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ba4a4407241465bf317018d4c3490e94d2167f45ec7f4d10b0f31d36b91b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed BakS eSports | 35c | 564.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed BakS eSports | 36c | 427$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed BakS eSports | 5c | 424.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BakS eSports | 13c | 368.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 326.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed BakS eSports | 34c | 270.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 261.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BakS eSports | 11c | 224.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BakS eSports | 7c | 181$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 173.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 151.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7fd3backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 144.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 134.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BakS eSports | 27c | 120.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BakS eSports | 24c | 100.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed BakS eSports | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 34.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports - Map 1 WinnerBakS eSports won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs BakS eSports (+1.5)BakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.