TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1da…fefabacked No50c103,866$51,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,528.644143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes51c77,000$38,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,06015843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c68,437$34,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,882.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No49c37,563$18,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,405.936634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No15c30,906$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c23,395$11,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,660.853,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Yes50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.8431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Yes50c17,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5004235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No50c15,434$7,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,716.9253448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes51c14,155$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,942.918047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes50c13,499$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,715.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No49c12,360$6,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,112.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes51c9,536$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.326134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No2c5,625$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.755219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c5,429$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.792,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No48c4,976$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.2721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c4,669$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked No51c3,810$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9438316.9%14 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No49c3,480$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.0825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes47c2,498$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.1615149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes46c2,371$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.4713857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.6920547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No49c2,080$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.28139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes50c2,080$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No50c2,068$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03446546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No50c1,894$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94718850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No50c1,612$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No13c1,589$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes51c1,492$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.7453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9740…6babbacked Yes50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.882630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No50c1,472$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed No49c1,465$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.855040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No50c1,453$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.7792038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No18c1,355$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No6c1,330$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.337644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Yes46c1,229$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.7612430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No48c1,067$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5785851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No48c1,063$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes50c1,060$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6713445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Yes49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.222436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No54c999.93$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9619545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed No50c837.28$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5613337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c830.67$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.713,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3126438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked No13c716.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No27c679.24$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33311060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked No50c629.87$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.948853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No16c601.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2121759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29411648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c596.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.842,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes52c582.73$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.739832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7148…600bbacked Yes52c554.33$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.081533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed No15c527.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.911625%4 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No49c527$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2315246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.92,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No4c505.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9148438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2457055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c460.49$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Yes47c455.53$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No51c452.31$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7522731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Yes47c421.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.287247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…d5ddbacked No50c416.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No40c413.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No55c408.96$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9334455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1630928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes50c402$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20144524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes52c401.62$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.789233.7%31 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…c902backed Yes51c392.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.317226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No54c392.18$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes52c387.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.796437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes76c379.89$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8915227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c359.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No32c350.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.82,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.