Fifa International · resolved market
Japan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab5cec3f1492a467442fbd1a46133f23a806fd23084fec22c18d2a008806642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1da…fefabacked No | 50c | 103,866$51,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,528.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 51c | 77,000$38,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,060 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 68,437$34,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,882.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 49c | 37,563$18,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,405.93 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 30,906$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 23,395$11,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,660.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Yes | 50c | 17,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 50c | 15,434$7,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.92 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 51c | 14,155$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.91 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 13,499$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,715.09 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 12,360$6,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,112.19 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 51c | 9,536$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 5,625$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 5,429$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.79 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 48c | 4,976$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.27 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,669$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked No | 51c | 3,810$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 3,480$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.08 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 47c | 2,498$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.16 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,371$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.47 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 49c | 2,080$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,080$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 50c | 2,068$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 50c | 1,894$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 50c | 1,612$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 1,589$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,492$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.74 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 1,472$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 49c | 1,465$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.85 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 50c | 1,453$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.77 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 18c | 1,355$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 6c | 1,330$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 46c | 1,229$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.76 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 48c | 1,067$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.57 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 1,063$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.67 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 54c | 999.93$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 50c | 837.28$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.56 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 830.67$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 13c | 716.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 27c | 679.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 50c | 629.87$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 16c | 601.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 596.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 52c | 582.73$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…600bbacked Yes | 52c | 554.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed No | 15c | 527.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 49c | 527$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 4c | 505.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 460.49$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 455.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 51c | 452.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed Yes | 47c | 421.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…d5ddbacked No | 50c | 416.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 413.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 408.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 52c | 401.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…c902backed Yes | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 54c | 392.18$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 52c | 387.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 76c | 379.89$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 359.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 350.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan leading at halftime?this page
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.