Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa469ae63ee5cb22f5d34335d8349bef8eae86c7bb8d7faac4c1465ce71e84d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 8,724$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 6,854$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.94 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 5,265$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 11c | 1,001$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 982.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 771.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 11c | 714.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 659$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 11c | 542.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 309.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 299.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 290.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 236.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 173$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia leading at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?Yes won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.