Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b4cdfc1ab5fedf4b6b0560efaaf003285f6b1363629cff7abcdd642ecef6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 8,841$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.65 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 6,075$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.96 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,052$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 13c | 3,727$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.55 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 2,705$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,546$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.33 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 2,423$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 1,708$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 1,405$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 1,230$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,099$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.44 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 41c | 1,009$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.79 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 750.56$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.81 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 7c | 505.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 42c | 500.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 413.76$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 262.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 241.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 24c | 152.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed No | 60c | 128.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 16c | 125.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…5681backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 40c | 100.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 12c | 99.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 60c | 84.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 60c | 82.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 76.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…3c1cbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 41c | 68.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed No | 78c | 63.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…1958backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 62c | 57.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 62c | 55.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 61c | 51.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 62c | 48.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0ae1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 58c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 40c | 30.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 60c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 60c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…a454backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…dc0fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 62c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 62c | 22.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed No | 78c | 21.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…f379backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 58c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed No | 59c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 61c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?Yes won
- Tunisia leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.