Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d4705e97381854c6cf2f58dd994e92927c764469c6e14f5370332611594098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience | 27c | 50,252$13,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,663.22 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 72c | 39,667$28,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,298.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience | 26c | 24,563$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.64 | 714 | 43.1%308 W · 406 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 18,030$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 16,000$11,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Resilience | 2c | 14,400$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 12,994$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.65 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 11,820$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.3 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Resilience | 28c | 10,080$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.71 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Spirit | 74c | 6,540$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.7 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 6,075$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.41 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Spirit | 73c | 5,300$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Resilience | 13c | 4,611$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Resilience | 26c | 4,117$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.54 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 3,025$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Resilience | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 2,873$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 413 | 42.1%174 W · 239 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6eafbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,701$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Resilience | 28c | 2,567$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.11 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,463$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 2,332$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.56 | 328 | 49.4%162 W · 166 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 76c | 2,291$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.27 | 941 | 46.3%436 W · 505 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,246$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Resilience | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.96 | 312 | 55.1%172 W · 140 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…d3d4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 2,196$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.87 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Team Resilience | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 704 | 35.4%249 W · 455 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,988$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Resilience | 29c | 1,775$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.89 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,772$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,686$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 1,615$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Resilience | 15c | 1,500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Resilience | 29c | 1,442$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.39 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Resilience | 23c | 1,409$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.38 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,400$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 510 | 69.4%354 W · 156 L | +34.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Resilience | 22c | 1,392$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience | 24c | 1,243$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Resilience | 23c | 1,174$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Resilience | 29c | 1,123$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,105$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Resilience | 13c | 1,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Team Resilience | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Resilience | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Resilience | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Resilience | 25c | 999.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Spirit | 71c | 951.01$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.46 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 935.72$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience | 27c | 930$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.74 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Resilience | 28c | 925.95$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 585 | 56.8%332 W · 253 L | +28.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…dfefbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Resilience | 2c | 890.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 79c | 889.79$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 538 | 58.7%316 W · 222 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 857.73$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1,525 | 38%579 W · 946 L | -56.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Resilience | 28c | 849.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Spirit | 71c | 811.82$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Resilience | 27c | 810.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Team Resilience | 28c | 796.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Spirit | 77c | 778.19$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 772.34$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 770.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Team Resilience | 27c | 751.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Spirit | 71c | 738.27$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 196 | 60.2%118 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed Team Spirit | 72c | 722.22$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 707.62$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 701.91$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Team Resilience | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 664.77$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 80c | 640$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 1,158 | 47.7%552 W · 606 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…54a3backed Team Spirit | 71c | 566.14$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Resilience | 9c | 555$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Team Spirit | 71c | 545$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Team Resilience | 28c | 539.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…211ebacked Team Resilience | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 481.1$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 802 | 59.1%474 W · 328 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Resilience | 30c | 451.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Team Resilience | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 421.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 412$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Team Resilience | 27c | 410.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…6453backed Team Spirit | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 404.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed Team Spirit | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…5c2ebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 399.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Resilience | 30c | 399$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…51b8backed Team Resilience | 9c | 395.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…c0b9backed Team Spirit | 76c | 394.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience | 13c | 392.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…0450backed Team Resilience | 24c | 381.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…8b99backed Team Resilience | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…3e9abacked Team Resilience | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 76c | 356.97$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 714 | 42.6%304 W · 410 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.