Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbe970f431d3a3e86f2d2ff107f2febdf8e4cfe68cdb4c1abc621cfd13df55e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Spirit, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 24,910$11,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,087.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 20,390$10,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,495.46 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Resilience | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 5,674$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Spirit | 52c | 4,624$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.3 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Resilience | 49c | 4,377$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,862$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,823$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Spirit | 51c | 2,697$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.63 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 2,404$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.06 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Resilience | 48c | 2,246$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.61 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 1,385$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.7 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Team Resilience | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Resilience | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Resilience | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Spirit | 53c | 691.51$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 675.16$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.51 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Spirit | 54c | 543.06$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 452.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 416$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 385.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Team Resilience | 47c | 384.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Spirit | 52c | 336.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Team Resilience | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Resilience | 50c | 312.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Team Resilience | 50c | 260.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Team Spirit | 54c | 226.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…8359backed Team Resilience | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…b84cbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 219.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Resilience | 71c | 215.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Team Spirit | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Team Spirit | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 203.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…7bb8backed Team Resilience | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Team Spirit | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Team Spirit | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 193.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Resilience | 47c | 192.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 183.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Team Resilience | 49c | 183.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Resilience | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 138.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Resilience | 49c | 132.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 116.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Resilience | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…a533backed Team Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Team Spirit | 51c | 85.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 79.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…305dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 78.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 41c | 75.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 56c | 69.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Team Spirit | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Resilience | 49c | 57.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…589ebacked Team Resilience | 26c | 56.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Resilience | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Team Resilience | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…d0fcbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 43.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Team Resilience | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Spirit | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Spirit | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…ecbdbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Resilience | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Team Spirit | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Team Resilience | 49c | 36.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…3e39backed Team Resilience | 66c | 36.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Team Resilience | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Spirit | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Resilience | 47c | 29.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Team Resilience | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Team Resilience | 47c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…6f8ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…489cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Team Resilience | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.